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Waikiki Tsunami Preparedness Major Trisha Cobb, USA LT Hamadi Bouaicha , Tunisia Navy OA 4202 Team Project Network Flows and Graphs. Introduction. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v= Y0IgwVElUwE. Problem Statement. Analyze Waikiki evacuation preparedness Given: 30 min 20,000 evacuees
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Waikiki Tsunami PreparednessMajor Trisha Cobb, USALT Hamadi Bouaicha, Tunisia NavyOA 4202 Team ProjectNetwork Flows and Graphs
Introduction http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y0IgwVElUwE
Problem Statement • Analyze Waikiki evacuation preparedness • Given: • 30 min • 20,000 evacuees • One-way roads with choke points • County assigned disaster shelters
Assumptions • Rational actors • 2 pax per vehicle • 20,000 will attempt to evac • Simplified Network • Everyone traveling at the same rate and departing at the same time • No public transportation
Objective: maximize the number of evacuees during a limited laps of time (MOE) • Constraints : • Must evacuate people from starting points to shelters : Supply points • All evacuees must be directed to shelters • Can’t have evacuees in others locations than hotels and shelters • Maximum Capacity of roads and bridges (during all the evacuation time)
Simplified Network Design Hotels Shelter Choke Hotels Shelter end Choke Hotels Shelter
Analysis 30% 70% 22% 8% 27% 43%
Sensitivity Analysis Rate of Travel (mph)
Sensitivity Analysis Rate of Travel (mph)
Sensitivity Analysis Rate of Travel (mph)
Adding a Bridge Walk
One Interdiction 11% 4% 13% 13
Two Interdictions 2,119 evacuate 11% 4% 1 13
Three Interdictions 500 evacuate 2 3% 1 13
Future Considerations • Logistics rebuilding of Waikiki • Time layering with an exponential arrival rate • Varying road capacity based on time of day
Conclusion 1946 1952 1960 1960