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The Case for AfDB’s Climate Action in Africa. AfDB Partnership Forum March 2010. African Development Bank. The Case for AfDB’s Climate Action in Africa. Climate Change: the challenges and opportunities for Africa AfDB’s CC Action Plan 2010-2014: Key Expected Results
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The Case for AfDB’s Climate Action in Africa AfDB Partnership Forum March 2010 African Development Bank
The Case for AfDB’s Climate Action in Africa • Climate Change: the challenges and opportunities for Africa • AfDB’s CC Action Plan 2010-2014: • Key Expected Results • Indicative Investment Plan • Resources Gaps
1. Climate Change: The Challenges for Africa • Africa is the least responsible but most vulnerable region to the impacts of climate change • Vulnerability comes largely from natural fragility, high dependence on agriculture sector, poor developed infrastructure, rapid pace of urbanization, risks of further fragility in some states • Climate change is for Africa a core development issue and sound development is key to coping with current and future climate variability • Adaptation is essential to manage climate change impacts and maximize development outcomes but… • Mitigation is also very important: a green growth path under a conducive global policy and financing framework can make a big difference to the Continent
1. Climate Change: The Opportunities for Africa • There are many opportunities in hydro-electric power, geothermal, wind energy, and in the longer run, large scale opportunities from solar energy • Africa has opportunities from reduced gas flaring in a number of countries, and from increased energy efficiency and transmission losses • Biofuels production (in idle land) presents an opportunity for African nations to develop a new export market and increase export revenues, improve agricultural employment, incomes ad livelihoods, especially when cultivation involves small-scale farmers • Global markets and financing opportunities to pursue a green growth path
2. AfDB’s CC Action Plan: Key Expected Results
2. AfDB’s CC Action Plan: Key Expected Results
2. AfDB’s CC Action Plan: Indicative Investment Plan
3. Resources Gaps • Overall funding gap for the CC Action Plan will be established after GCI and ADF-12 processes are finalized but… • …there are large TA needs in RE, EE, multi-modal/mass rapid transit systems, climate finance, CC economics, regional PPP’s, forestry… • …and projects to be fully financed and co-financed. Examples: • AAA/TA (mitigation): • Green Growth Strategy for Africa • NAMA’s development • REDD policy frameworks • Urban/transport master plans • Climate finance (e.g. new carbon finance products) • AfDB’s knowledge and screening tools (e.g. EE) • Projects/Funds: • Africa CC Fund • CC Action Plan pipeline of projects
3. Resources Gaps • AAA/TA (Adaptation): • CRMA in small-island states • Climate-proofing small-scale infrastructure • Weather monitoring and early warning and response systems • Investment policy reform for stimulating use of adaptation technologies • Land tenure legal/policy reform • AfDB’s knowledge and screening tools • Projects/Funds: • ClimDev Africa • CC Action Plan pipeline of projects
Principles of Engagement • Start with high risk countries where there is strong client and demand • Use a mix of instruments adjusted to country realities to attain goals • Support country systems and priorities, build ownership and participation of all key stakeholders • Work with development partners and regional institutions to deliver competency building and TA which is linked to the investment portfolio • CC integrated in AfDB’s policy and strategic work (e.g. sector strategies, CSP’s, RISP’s) • Improved portfolio tracking of AfDB’s CC investments; establishment of an outcome-based results framework and consultative process for progress review and update
The Case for AfDB’s Climate Action in Africa Vision: Africa – a land of new climate change initiatives & opportunitieswith AfDB the key partner forpromoting sustainable development under low carbon paths
1. Climate Change: The Challenges for Africa • North Africa: crop failures, desertification, and water resources stress expected to cause economic losses and climate-induced migration • West Africa • Sahel: Further drying possible, shortening of growing period • Guinea Coast: Sea Level Rise, decrease in precipitation • Horn of Africa: Heat waves, small precipitation gains largely offset by high temperatures, shortening of growing period • East Africa:Increase in Precipitation (strongest model agreement!), More intense rainfall events (flood risk!), drought risk continues • Central Africa: More intense rainfall events expected • Southern Africa: Drying trend over large parts of region, flood and drought risk E/Central S. Africa: CYCLONES intensify (most at risk: Mozambique, Madagascar) • Sea Level Rise • Most exposed: Densely populated Guinea Coast and low lying islands • Key Countries: Gambia, Guinea-Bissau, Senegal, Ghana, Liberia, Sierra Leone, Nigeria, Benin, Togo, Cote d’Ivoire, Cameroon