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CLIMATE An Abrupt Climate Change Scenario and Its Implications for United States National Security (Pentagon Report, 2003). Global warming “should be elevated beyond a scientific debate to a US national security concern... future wars will be fought over the issue of survival rather than religion, ideology or national honour.” Understanding climate matters...
CLIMATE I. Large Scale Determinants A. Solar Radiation 1. Average Radiation Budget - Solar Constant = 2 calories/cm2/min - 50% is reflected, absorbed, reradiated (Most ultraviolet light is reflected/absorbed) by the atmosphere - on average, 1 cal/cm2/min strikes earth. (but this varies dramatically, as we will see…)
- 50% is reflected, absorbed, reradiated (Most ultraviolet light is reflected/absorbed)
YAY OZONE! CO2 fills ‘window’ in H2O absorbance ABSORBANCE Greenhouse effect
A. Solar Radiation 1. Average Radiation Budget 2. Local Radiation Budget – Angle of incidence (latitude and season) • Goes through more atmosphere • Less energystrikes/unit area (since it is spread over more area) 3) More is reflected off surface; a lower percentage of what strikes/unit area is absorbed
A. Solar Radiation 1. Average Radiation Budget 2. Local Radiation Budget – Angle of incidence (latitude and season)
B. Effects on Atmospheric Circulation LOW ENERGY LOW ENERGY HIGH ENERGY
LOW ENERGY LOW ENERGY HIGH ENERGY
As air rises: - decrease pressure - increase volume - decrease energy/unit volume - decrease temperature
As air rises: - decrease pressure - increase volume - decrease energy/unit volume - decrease temperature “Adiabatic cooling” Decrease temp, increase tendancy of water vapor to condense
As air rises: - decrease pressure - increase volume - decrease energy/unit volume - decrease temperature “Adiabatic cooling” Decrease temp, increase tendancy of water vapor to condense PV = nRT
As dry cold air falls: - increase pressure - decrease volume - increase energy/unit volume - increase temperature “Adiabatic warming”
As dry cold air falls: - increase pressure - decrease volume - increase energy/unit volume - increase temperature “Adiabatic warming” 30oN Increase temp of this dry air, evaporate water off surface 30oS
HOT, DRY, DESERTS 30oN TROPICAL RAINS at solar equator HOT, DRY, DESERTS 30oS
30 N 30 S
Latitude of solar equator drive seasonal rainy seasons in tropics Latitude of solar equator
Three cycles in each hemisphere: • Hadley • temperate (Ferrel), • polar
Transfer of energy from equator to poles • (“Why are global warming’s greatest effects at the poles, not in raising the temperature of the tropics?)
C. The Coriolis Effect • - Pattern of air movement along the surface of the earth…
C. The Coriolis Effect • Pattern of air movement along the surface of the earth… • - conservation of momentum east • - speed relative to Earth changes • (treadmill analogy)
E. Long-Term Effects 1. ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation)
E. Long-Term Effects 1. ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation)
E. Long-Term Effects 1. ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation)
E. Long-Term Effects 2. Younger Dryas - Dramatic cooling of northern Europe 11,000-13,000 years ago, correlating with the melting of the Laurentian Ice Sheet in North America. - Fresh water formed a lens on surface; deflecting Gulf Stream to the east at a much lower latitude, starving Europe of the heat transferred by the Gulf Stream.
F. Difficulties in Modeling Global Climate 1. Positive Feedback Loops
F. Difficulties in Modeling Global Climate F. Difficulties in Modeling Global Climate 1. Positive Feedback Loops
F. Difficulties in Modeling Global Climate F. Difficulties in Modeling Global Climate 1. Negative Feedback Loops
II. Determinants of Local Climate A. Topography 1. mountains
II. Determinants of Local Climate A. Topography 1. mountains 2. valleys Valleys - Day
II. Determinants of Local Climate A. Topography 1. mountains 2. valleys Valleys - Night
II. Determinants of Local Climate A. Topography 1. mountains 2. valleys 3. slope face
B. Water Bodies - act as heat sink/source as temp changes more slowly than air SPRING to SUMMER Land warms more rapidly than water body; heat transfers to cold water...increase in temp is buffered
B. Water Bodies - act as heat sink/source as temp changes more slowly than air FALL to WINTER Land cools more rapidly than water body; heat transfers to cold land...decrease in temp is buffered
B. Water Bodies - act as heat sink/source as temp changes more slowly than air CONTINENTAL CLIMATE MARITIME CLIMATE Continental climate Maritime climate focus on temp (red) and NOTE scales differ!!
B. Water Bodies - also a source of moisture
B. Water Bodies - also a source of moisture Maritime climate
B. Water Bodies also a source of moisture Continental climate (max 100) Maritime climate (max 160) focus on precip (blue)
B. Water Bodies • also a source of moisture • depends on onshore vs. offshore winds/currents Vancouver, 49N Boston, 42 N Note differences in scale