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DSC 8330 Data Mining Project

DSC 8330 Data Mining Project. Alex Kao Jack Peng Ben Hung. Score Card. Score Card Continue…. Score Card Continue…. KS Test. K-S Statistic For the test model: 22.10% For the validation subset: 21.82% For the whole dataset: 21.45% Cutoff Score: 630 Points

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DSC 8330 Data Mining Project

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  1. DSC 8330Data Mining Project Alex Kao Jack Peng Ben Hung

  2. Score Card

  3. Score Card Continue…

  4. Score Card Continue…

  5. KS Test • K-S Statistic • For the test model: 22.10% • For the validation subset: 21.82% • For the whole dataset: 21.45% • Cutoff Score: 630 Points • About 75% of approved people are GOOD and 25% are BAD • Approved population has 69% of GOOD and 46% of BAD

  6. KS Test Continue

  7. KS Test Continue • Cutoff Score • For the test model: 630 Points • For the validation subset : 680 Points • For the whole dataset: 630 Points or 680 Points • If we select 680 Points as cutoff points • About 77.7% of approved people are GOOD and 22.3 % are BAD • Approved population has 51% of GOOD and 30% of BAD • Since the KS is very close and we want to approve more GOOD guys, we select 630 Points as our cutoff score

  8. KS Test Continue

  9. Monitor Report • Monitor and Track the performance of model regularly • Watch the GOOD/BAD distribution approved by the model after the GOOD/BAD rate becomes stable • Investigate the cause or consider revise/reconstruct the model when the demographic changes

  10. conclusion • Cutoff point is 630, approval without conditions.

  11. conclusion • Score between 600 and 630, conditional approval with higher interest rate • The model has higher approval rate, based on score 600, the rate is 72%.

  12. Project Presentation Thank you

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