260 likes | 406 Views
€. €. €. €. Da dove e quando a qui e subito !. €. €. H2IT Marieke Reijalt Seminar TF arly Markets Milano 7 aprile 2008. €. €. €. €. Contenuti. 1. H2IT 2. Definizione 3. Dove le prime infrastrutture in Europa; le prospettive per Italia;
E N D
€ € € € Da dove e quando a qui e subito! € € H2IT Marieke Reijalt Seminar TF arly Markets Milano 7 aprile 2008 € € € €
Contenuti 1. H2IT 2. Definizione 3. Dove • le prime infrastrutture in Europa; • le prospettive per Italia; 4. Quando- prospettive sulle tecnologie per produrre H2 5. Qui- da dove cominciare • catene industriali di valore • prezzi 6. Subito!- JTI; - Programmi nazionali - H2IT Piano di azione 2008
H2IT - L’associazione Italiana Idrogeno e Celle a Combustibile Nasce come Associazione nel 2004 e fa parte della FAST, Federazione Associazioni Scientifiche e Tecniche a Milano. Si propone di: • essere un portavoce per gli attori che operano nel settore; • promuovere le attività sull’idrogeno a livello nazionale; • facilitare lo sviluppo delle infrastrutture per l’idrogeno • stabilire forte collegamenti alle iniziative internazionali
H2IT - L’associazione Italiana Idrogeno e Celle a Combustibile Obiettivi principali per 2008: Facilitare la rinascita della piattaforma nazionale; Sostegno alla JTI; facilitare partecipazione italiana; Facilitare entrata italiana nel Hydrogen Bus Alliance; Supporto allo sviluppo locale; miscela, centri logistici; Partner in progetti europei importanti come coordinatore dei WP Dissemination: 6Pq: Hyapproval, H2Training, HYPER; H2IT Roadshow 2008 visita il sito: www.h2it.org/roadshow; Preparazione di un Roadmap verso il WorldExpo 2015.
Definizione Early Markets : IG Business Development and Early Markets (HFP) - On site hydrogen supply systems for small service vehicles; - FC systems and hydrogen storage components for back up power of off grid antenna installations; - Fuel cell systems for cogeneration of condominiums, hotels and hospitals; - Small service vehicles as forklift trucks, airport trolleys, transport on big fairgrounds;
Dove? Hydrogen deployment map Italy Distributed users Concentrated users
Dove? Hydrogen intensitymap– Phase II (10,000 carsEU-wide)[GWh/(a km2)]?“ Low penetration - Concentrated users – Late network High penetration - Distributed users - Early networkd 1,000 vehicles 1,000 vehicles 21% of population 21% of population 94 fuelling stations 188 fuelling stations
Dove? Hydrogen intensitymap - Phase III-3 (16 millcars EU-wide) [GWh/(a km2)]? High penetration - Distributed users - Early network Low penetration - Concentrated users – Late network 2.7 mill vehicles (8%) 2.7 mill vehicles (8%) 100% of population 85% of population 5900 fuelling stations 4400 fuelling stations
Quando? Produzione di H2 Demo Early commercial Commercial Application Comments CCS + (gasification/ reforming) 2011 +/-2015 +/- 2020 • Shell Pernis (NL), RCI R’dam (NL), RWE Cologne (G) • Capture cost with gasification is much lower, than for reforming Coal gasification with biomass cofeeding 2007 • Nuon, Buggenum plant (NL) • Buggenum coal gasification power plant can use up to 30% of biomass as feedstock Bio-gasification +/- 2008 +/- 2014 +/- 2018 • Freiburg (G), Choren, • Gussing (A) • Beta plant being constructed; syngas supplied to Fisher-Trops reactor,15 KT/yr Bio-fuel=4 KT/yr H2) Bio-gas reforming (small scale) 2006 +/-2013 +/-2018 • Hynor (Norway) • Biomethane as feedstock (land fills, Agriculture) • Gas impurity bad for catalyst, Discontinuous process issue Electrolysis large scale, using renewable electricity 2008 • Sote Vento (Es), Gaz Naturel (120 m3, 250 kg/day) • Large scale electrolysis is used for production of Chlorine, only appropriate when renewable electricity is abundant 2003 Electrolysis small scale, renewable electricity +/- 2010 +/- 2016 • Statoilhydro Hamburg, Reykjavik • Reliability of the electrolyser (lye) 10
Pipeline 2020 +/-2025 +/- 2025 • - • Urban pipelines required • Cost reduction for installation and maintenance of safety vs NG Liquid Hydrogen 2025 2030 • - • New LHY cycles, larger production trains, production integration with other processes, storage / component enhancements High Pressure Hydrogen (700bar+) 2005 +/-2013 +/- 2015 • Marl, Berlin (’09) • Composite storage, higher pressures, more robust components and processes Hydrides 2005 +/-2013 +/-2020 • HyChain • some off road niche vehicles • Continued development of hydride mix Fuelling Station High Pressure Hydrogen Supply 2003 +/-2010 2015 • many • Robustness of components • Safety • Underground systems Fuelling Station Liquid Hydrogen Supply 2003 +/- 2012 +/- 2020 • Berlin • Robustness of components • Safety • Underground systems Quando? Hydrogen delivery mechanisms both to the fuelling station and the vehicle Comments Demo Early commercial Commercial Application
Qui! 1. Stazioni di servizi esistenti.2. Centri logistici: 1. elevatori, 2. trasferimenti ai veicoli servizi piccoli a bassi emissioni, taxi e bus; 3. sistemi di back up power. 3. Parchi eolici: California: 80.000 MW in attesa, mancanza capacità sufficiente della rete; Giappone: NEDO, National Energy Development Agency stoccaggio prerequisito per lo sviluppo del eolico in Giappone; Ungeria: problemi tecnici con connessioni;
Subito! prospettive FCV in 2008 Honda, Takeo Fukui, Sole 24ore, 28-02-08:“Nell’estate 2008 in Usa e in autunno in Giappone comincia la commercializzare della FCX Clarity.” Mercedes, Dieter Zetsche, Motorshow Ginevra 07-03-08: In 2010 inizia modesta della produzione di massa della B-Class: verso 2014-15, arrivano i modelli “distinctive, economically competitive fuel-cell, 100,000 a year.” Fiat: Frankfurt Motorshow Fiat Aria primo modello a combustione interna alimentato dalla miscela H2 (30%V)/CNG: decine di Aria in Lombardia e Piemonte
Subito!: i prezzi AGIP Francoforte: idrogeno a €8 al kg Valori H2: Con 1,5 kg H2 si fa 100km ; 0.089 kg/ Nm3 3 kWh/Nm3 H2
Hydrogen production mix and specific hydrogen costs at the pump (Hyways) 10.0 ct/kWh 13.34 ct/kWh 12.4 ct/kWh Coal or biomass or mix of coal & biomas gasification 20.5 ct/kWh 24.9 ct/kWh 19.6 ct/kWh
Subito!: i prezzi, powertrain costs (Hyways) Spec. additional costs / savings* of a FCV compared to conventional vehicle Drivers: Additional cost Cost Savings Internalisation of CO2 70 €/t CO2 0 €/t CO2 Hydrogen Wind NG fuel 100 $/bbl 25 $/bbl Crude oil Hydrogen drive system Moderate PR Optimistic PR* c/km 6 3 0 3 6 9 Max cost differences: Max additional cost Max savings * (w/o tax)
Subito!: Iniziativa tecnologica congiunta JTI • JOINT TECHNOLOGY INITIATIVE proposal without further delay: the most effective instruments for concentrating industry effort & funding over the whole innovation chain; • LIGHTHOUSE DEMONSTRATION PROJECTS including public procurement enhance current demonstration projects towards commercialization; • PUBLIC PROCUREMENT & BUYERS’ POOLS – example: MOU Joint Public Procurement of H2 buses by European Cities and Regions (5 October 06); • STRATEGIC PROCUREMENT APPROACH for start-ups (pre- commercialization phase): include H2&FC in the current EC public procurement legislation.
Subito! Iniziativa tecnologica congiunta JTI (2) 5. REMOVE REGULATORARY BARRIERS, harmonize CODES & STANDARDS internationally – example: EC Regulation on H2 vehicles; 6. FINANCING INSTRUMENTS: specific approaches for SMEs, but also a need for new financing approaches, based on equity investments to address the specific needs of independent private developers
Subito!: Finanziamenti nazionali • Industria 2015: per efficienza energetica 200 mln per 11 area di cui area a4 ) riferisce a - celle a combustibile di 3 e 30 kW;- accumulo d’idrogeno; - termine dal 30 aprile a 30 giugno 2008;- max. €15 mln per l’intero progetto, max €5 mln/partner 2. Finanziaria 2008:€ 10 mln per la piattaforma nazionale per le tecnologie d’idrogeno e le tecnologie collegate (incl. la miscela).
Subito! Azioni H2IT • Facilitare informazioni diretti sull’avanzamento JTI; • Creazione di un attività di verifica delle possibilità per il WorldExpo 2015 a Milano;- Facilitare alleanze con iniziative internazionali : Hydrogen Bus Alliance; Contact: Marieke Reijalt www.h2it.org marieke@h2it.org Tel direct +39 340 7914751