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The Busiest Six Weeks of the Year

The Busiest Six Weeks of the Year. NCSL Legislative Summit Thursday, August 9, 2012 Chicago, IL. Federal Funds Information for States. “To Do” List on November 7, 2012. Depending on CR, complete FY 2013 appropriations Address the BCA’s looming sequester Deal with expiring tax provisions

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The Busiest Six Weeks of the Year

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  1. The Busiest Six Weeks of the Year NCSL Legislative Summit Thursday, August 9, 2012 Chicago, IL Federal Funds Information for States

  2. “To Do” List on November 7, 2012 • Depending on CR, complete FY 2013 appropriations • Address the BCA’s looming sequester • Deal with expiring tax provisions • Consider other expiring legislation, authorizations • Reassure markets and American consumers

  3. FY 2013 Appropriations • President’s budget replaced BCA with other tax and spending policies • House budget resolution cut deeper than BCA and included reconciliation • Senate adhered to BCA and did not adopt a budget resolution • Consequently, all three sets of numbers vary

  4. The BCA and Looming Sequester • Absent legislation, a sequester will occur in January 2013. • CBO estimates -7.8% for domestic discretionary and mandatory, -10% for defense (-11.2% absent personnel). • Almost 75% of grant programs are subject to sequester but less than 20% of grant funding. • Defense sequester could be more damaging for some states. • What are your states doing to prepare?

  5. Expiring Tax Provisions, etc. • Bush-era tax cuts • 2percentage-point payroll tax reduction • AMT “fix” • Other tax provisions, including Child Tax Credit • Also….need to raise the debt limit.

  6. Expiring Program Authorizations • TANF: Must be extended or no funding. • Farm bill: Must be extended or no funding. • ESEA: Absent reauthorization, states are increasingly operating on waivers. • WIA: Streamlining looks possible. • SAFETEA-LU: Has now been authorized through FY 2014 as MAP-21.

  7. Markets and Consumers • Last year’s efforts to raise the debt limit, (which resulted in the BCA), spooked markets, led to debt rating downgrade and sent consumers and employers running for cover. • Are we in for a repeat?

  8. What’s the Conventional Wisdom? • For appropriations, a 6-month CR, BUT… • For BCA, postpone the day of reckoning, BUT… • For expiring tax provisions, a bruising fight. Will businesses weigh in? • For authorizations, extensions where needed, BUT... • Risks to the budget versus risks to the economy.

  9. Happy New Year! • For more information, contact: Marcia Howard mhoward@ffis.org www.ffis.org

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