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Probes of Dark Energy. Cluster/Halo abundances volume, structure growth Galaxy Clustering standard rulers, structure Type Ia Supernovae standard candles Weak Lensing geometry, structure Complementarity: of systematic errors and of cosmological
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Probes of Dark Energy Cluster/Halo abundances volume, structure growth Galaxy Clustering standard rulers, structure Type Ia Supernovaestandard candles Weak Lensinggeometry, structure Complementarity:of systematic errors and of cosmological parameter degeneracies Our collaboration has substantial, practical experience in all 4 key project areas
DES Weak Lensing Marginalized 68% CL DES constraints • Measure shapes for ~300 million source galaxies with z = 0.7 • Shear-shear & galaxy-shear correlations probe distances & growth rate of perturbations • Mass Power spectrum determined by CMB (WMAP) Sky area, depth, photo-z’s, image quality & stability
Evolution of Dark Energy • Planck CMB priors • Cosmic shear to l=3000 • Galaxy-shear to l=1000 • Lens galaxies in halos above 1012.5 Msun in bins of z=0.1 to z=1 • Source galaxies in bins of z=0.28 to z=1.1 plus 1 high-z bin
Weak Lensing Systematics • Residual PSF anisotropy (telescope, atmosphere) • Optical design --> PSF map • Pixel size requirement • Systematic Photo-z errors (under study) Refregier
Cluster Weak Lensing Mass Map (BTC on Blanco) Optical survey independently calibrates SZ cluster mass estimates through WL and richness
Type Ia SNe as calibrated `Standard’ Candles Peak brightness correlates with decline rate (Phillips) After correction, dispersion in peak brightness ~ 0.12-0.15 mag Luminosity Time
Type Ia Supernovae Advantages: • small dispersion in peak brightness (std. candles) • single objects (simpler than galaxies) • can be observed over wide redshift range(bright) • Challenges/Systematic concerns: • dust extinction in host galaxy • chemical composition variations/evolution • evolution of progenitor population • photometric calibration • Malmquist bias • environmental differences • K correction uncertainties
DES Supernovae • Repeat observations of 40 deg2 , 10% of survey time • ~1900 well-measured riz SN Ia lightcurves, 0.25 < z < 0.75 • Larger sample, improved z-band response compared to ESSENCE, CFHTLS • Combination of spectroscopic (~25%) and photometric redshifts • Develop color typing and SN photo-z’s (critical for LSST) DES constraints (assuming = 0.2 mag)
The Dark Energy Survey in Context • Connecting Quarks with the Cosmos, Beyond Einstein, Quantum Universe, Physics of the Universe, HEPAP, DOE OS Facility Plan, … • All identified Dark Energy as one of the most profound questions in fundamental physics, ripe for experimental progress • Endorsed a multi-pronged approach to dark energy from ground- and space-based telescopes • To make progress in understanding Dark Energy, we must reach greater precision: determineDE, w = p/, and its evolution
The Dark Energy Survey in Context: Toward A U.S. Dark Energy Program • Coherent program aimed at increasing Dark Energy precision over the next ~15 years desirable • Sequence of logical, incremental steps of increasing scale, technical complexity, and scientific reach • Increase precision in w from ~20% today* to ~ few % (robustly) over this period. Determine evolution dw/dz to ~20% (current constraints very weak). • DES as logical next step in Dark Energy measurements beyond current surveys *Note: all quoted (1) errors on w assume it does not evolve (and beware priors)
Dark Energy: where we are now (w) ~ 0.15*, w < –0.76 (95%) 95% constraints assuming w = –1 assuming w constant Tegmark, etal Key priors: scale-free spectrum, no gravity waves, massless neutrinos, simple bias Additional prior: flat Universe *from CMB+LSS+SNe; no single dataset constrains w better than ~30%
Dark Energy: 2004-2008 (w) ~ 0.1* • Supernovae: ESSENCE, CFHTLS, HST, SNF, SDSS,… many 100’s of SNe Ia over z ~ 0.1-0.8 • Weak Lensing: Deep Lens, CFHTLS, RCS II, … ~200-1000 sq. deg. deep multi-band imaging • Cluster SZ: APEX, ACT, SPT,… ~200 --> 4000 sq. deg. *SNE+WMAP combined
The Dark Energy Survey in Context: 2009-2013 Logical next step in dark energy measurements: • Will measure w to ~ 0.05–0.15 statistical accuracy* using multiple complementary probes, and begin to constrain dw/dz • Scientific and technical precursor to the more ambitious Dark Energy projects to follow: LSST and SNAP • DES in unique position to synergize with SPT on this timescale • Cannot be done with any existing facility: Blanco+DECAM ~5 times faster survey instrument than CFHT+Megacam, >10x faster than any current U.S. facility, ~2x faster than PanSTARRS I • Complementarity: DUO (X-ray Clusters), KAOS *accuracy on each probe separately, with at most weak priors
Dark Energy: 2012/3 and Beyond • • Ground: LSSTDedicated 8m telescope with wide FOV imager • Space: JDEM2m optical/NIR wide-field telescope in space • Goals:wto few %,dw/dzto ~20% • Designed as `ultimate’ Dark Energy experiments, they must have exquisite control of systematic errors to reach the next level of cosmological precision • Timescales and costs reflect this
A National Wide-Field Imaging Facility • Blanco+DECAM will be a unique resource for the astronomy community.