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Our Challenge: We're painfully aware that technical competence (analysis) does not translate to competent trading We have BB's, RSI, MACD.... even OHLC bar charts. Why Candlesticks? Sort/control constant disruptions and outside influences
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Our Challenge: We're painfully aware that technical competence (analysis) does not translate to competent trading • We have BB's, RSI, MACD.... even OHLC bar charts. Why Candlesticks? • Sort/control constant disruptions and outside influences • Visual “management” and ability to see data relationships more easily • Fast insight to short-term trading psychology Candlestick Charting
Price is influenced by investors' psychologically driven emotions of fear, greed, and hope. Compared to OHLC bar charts: • Candlesticks read/display changes in the makeup of investors interpretations of value • Candlesticks show interactions between buyers and sellers Candlestick Charting (cont.)
Candlestick Basics • The Real Body (JITTAI) • The box indicates the difference between the open and close • If real body is black (red, or solid), then closing price was lower than the opening price. • If real body is white (green, or outline), closing price was higher than opening price Candlestick Charting (cont.)
Candlestick Basics (cont.) • The Shadows (KAGE) • Small thin lines extending above and/or below the body • Represent the high and low prices during the trading period Candlestick Charting (cont.)
Candlestick Lines (Basis: Trading Day) • “Long Days” • Large price movement for the day • Large relative to what? To the last 5-10 days! Candlestick Charting (cont.)
Candlestick Lines: • “Short Days” • Small price movement for the day • Small relative to what? To the last 5-10 days! Candlestick Charting (cont.)
Candlestick Lines: • “Marubozu” • Close-cropped or close-cut • No shadows extending from the real body at either the open or close, or both Candlestick Charting (cont.)
Candlestick Lines: • Black “Marubozu” • Extremely weak line • Often becomes part of bearish continuation or bullish reversal especially if occurring during downtrend • Being black indicates weakness of continuing downtrend (often first day of many bullish reversal patterns) Candlestick Charting (cont.)
Candlestick Lines: • White “Marubozu” • Extremely strong line • Often becomes first part of bullish continuation or bearish reversal Candlestick Charting (cont.)
Candlestick Lines: • Closing “Marubozu” • No shadow extending from the close price end, regardless of real body color • Black Closing is considered a weak line • White Closing is considered a strong line Candlestick Charting (cont.)
Candlestick Lines: • Opening “Marubozu” • No shadow extending from the open price end, regardless of color • If white, strong bullish line. If black, weak or bearish line. • Opening Marubozu is not as strong as the Closing Marubozu Candlestick Charting (cont.)
Candlestick Lines: • Spinning Tops (KOMA) • Small real bodies with upper and lower shadows greater in length than the body. • Represents indecision between bulls and bears • Color and actual shadow length is not important Candlestick Charting (cont.)
Candlestick Lines: • DOJI (goof or bungle) • Real body of candle line is so small that open and close prices are virtually equal • Open and close within only a few ticks • A perfect Doji has same open and close price Candlestick Charting (cont.)
Candlestick Lines: • DOJi (cont.) • If previous days are mostly Doji, then current Doji day not important • Doji occurring alone is a signal, warning of impending trend change • Doji preceded by a long white day in an uptrend is meaningful (bearish Doji Star) • Steve Nison: Doji are better indicators of change at tops rather than bottoms Candlestick Charting (cont.)
Candlestick Lines: • Long-Legged Doji (juji) • Long upper and lower shadows • Clear indecision • Close at or very near opening price (at center of day's range) Candlestick Charting (cont.)
Candlestick Lines: • Gravestone Doji (tohba) • Graves of those who died in battle • Failure to rally • If upper shadow is quite long, then much more bearish • At a market top, specific version of shooting star • Some sources claim gravestone doji can only occur on “ the ground, not in the air”. Consequently, a bullish indicator at a market low. Candlestick Charting (cont.)
Candlestick Lines: • Dragonfly Doji (tonbo) • Open and close are at the high for the day • Special case of the Hanging Man and Hammer lines • If shadow or tail is very long, then called a Takuri line which during a downward trend is extremely bullish. Candlestick Charting (cont.)
Candlestick Lines: • Four Price Doji • All four price components equal • So rare that data integrity is suspect • Represents complete and total uncertainty in direction Candlestick Charting (cont.)
Candlestick Lines: • Stars (HOSHI) • Small body gaps above or below previous day's long body. • Ideally, the gap encompasses the shadows but not always necessary • Indicates some uncertainty • Contribute to many candle patterns, primarily reversal patterns Candlestick Charting (cont.)
Candlestick Lines: • Paper Umbrella (KARAKASA) • Strong reversal implications • Strong similarity with Dragonfly Doji • Hammer (market bottom) • Hanging Man (market top) Candlestick Charting (cont.)