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Comparative Analysis Metro/County Contexts MAKING CONNECTIONS SITES

Comparative Analysis Metro/County Contexts MAKING CONNECTIONS SITES. Tom Kingsley The Urban Institute March 1, 2007. Knowledge of context important. In program planning and interpreting results Examples: - Setting employment targets in fast growing vs. sluggish or

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Comparative Analysis Metro/County Contexts MAKING CONNECTIONS SITES

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  1. Comparative Analysis Metro/County ContextsMAKING CONNECTIONS SITES Tom Kingsley The Urban Institute March 1, 2007

  2. Knowledge of context important • In program planning and interpreting results • Examples: - Setting employment targets in fast growing vs. sluggish or declining labor markets - Addressing isolation in metros where segregation is high vs. low - Planning homeownership promotion in markets where prices are high and acceleratIng vs. low and declining

  3. Compare conditions/trends in the 1990s with those since 2000 • Data from many sources: • BLS/LAUS; Census/ACS; FBI and CDC; HMDA • Five major topics - Economy and labor market - Demographic change - Income and poverty - Social conditions - Housing and mortgage markets

  4. Economy and labor marketGrowth slowed since 1990s - San Antonio & Des Moines fastest growth now vs. Oakland & Denver in 1990s- Both periods: Seattle high, Milwaukee & Louisville low

  5. Demographic ChangeHispanic share growing everywhere - Fastest where most concentrated: San Antonio & Denver

  6. Income and PovertyDisturbing increase – child poverty - Highest rates: Milwaukee, Providence, San Antonio- Largest increases: Providence, Milwaukee, Louisville, Denver

  7. Income and PovertyBroad range in segregation by race, income - Milwaukee, Hartford among most segregated metros in U.S. - Seattle, San Antonio, Des Moines below average, 100 metros

  8. Social ConditionsImprovement teen birth share – all sites - Recent declines same pace as in 1990s- 2001 shares highest in San Antonio, Milwaukee, Denver- Fastest improvement: Louisville, Oakland, Indianapolis, Denver

  9. Social ConditionsRanking some sites reasonably consistent across categories - Examples; Des Moines, Seattle at high end; Milwaukee, at low end- But some have varied placements: Oakland, Hartford

  10. Housing and mortgage marketsHomeownership rate up everywhere - Highest levels (above 2/3) in Des Moines, Hartford, Louisville- Fastest increases: Denver, Des Moines, Hartford, Indianapolis

  11. Housing and mortgage marketsHome purchase affordability under duress - Oakland home value 6.8 times income; San Antonio only 2.2- MC average 2004 ratio 3.7 in 2004, up from 2.8 in 2000

  12. Housing and mortgage marketsAgain some place consistently across categories – others not - Consistent: Des Moines at high end; Oakland at low end

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