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The Haugen Centre, Armstrong UBCM – Kelowna – Sept/04 Prepared by Seniorhome (formerly Seniors’ Housing Advisory) 604-946-2035 www.seniorhome.com. Assessing Seniors’ Housing Needs in Small Communities. Workplan to Confirm a Viable Tenant Cluster
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The Haugen Centre, Armstrong UBCM – Kelowna – Sept/04 Prepared by Seniorhome (formerly Seniors’ Housing Advisory) 604-946-2035 www.seniorhome.com Assessing Seniors’ Housing Needs in Small Communities
Workplan to Confirm a Viable Tenant Cluster Regional Focus and an Open and Inclusive Process Overview – Interior Health Authority’s Offer of Property
The Haugen Story(an example of small community project origins) • Existing lawn bowling green • Old de-commissioned hospital • Formerly donated to the town>>>to the Health Authority • Covenant for “health related uses”
The Local Community Context • Existing Seniors’ Community Centre – threatened by competition? • OCP – Affordable and Special Needs Housing Policy Objective support was in place ahead of the subjective initiative Would encourage density bonusing, CD zoning, Council’s initiative thru dev’t. approval process
Typical Small Community Factors • Everyone in town knows all that’s going on • Quick consensus and rallying of support • “Public lands” – School sites?>>>School Act asset disposition protocol • “Minor soccer vs. senior comforts” – competing interests? (a Kamloops story) • Smaller pop. = smaller constituencies>>>likelihood of blended user groups w/in seniors’ population • More land avail.>>>”campus of care” likely feasible>>>aging in place and flexible service programs • Urban and rural client groups and supports
Vital steps to assessing need • Review existing and anticipated supply • Market segmentation to distinguish: • Housing types: Detached/ Attached/ Old/ New • Service programs: IL, Supportive, Congregate, AL, Licensed Care • Funded from private pay • Demographic analysis of regional population McGuire Lake facility, Salmon Arm
Demographic analysis • A blend of precise measurement and intuition • Limited by quality of gross data • Beware the tempting assumptions and extrapolations Pioneer Place, Enderby
Small Area Data by FSA • Regional Market Delineation and Map – Large Market Area & Small Market Area • Canada Post Forward Sortation Areas (“FSA’s”) • addition of FSA V1H in Vernon since data collected
Armstrong-Spallumcheen Small Market Area Population ProjectionsSOURCE: Interior Health Authority
Potential Unmet Demand for More Supported Independent Housing for Seniors and Others with Special Needs • Assumption that “Seniors’ Housing” Means “Supported Housing” • Potential New Housing Category: Ownership Tenure, with Support • Measuring Demand and Determining Project Magnitude • >>>Existing and Potential New Seniors’ Housing in the Region Outside Schubert Centre, Vernon
1.A.E.&S. Community Health Council-Juniper 500 George St. Enderby, British Columbia V0E 1V0 2.Enderby & District Memorial Hospital 500 George Street Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 838-6441 V0E 1V0 3.Marshall Meadows 559 Mable Lake Road Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 838-7375 V0E 1V4 4.Oakside Manor Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 832-6777 5.Parkview Place 707-3 Road Ave Box 129 Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 838-6176 V0E 1V0 6.Pioneer Place Box 402 Enderby Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 838-0037 V0E 1V0 List 1 ~ Seniors’ Housing Available in Vernon, Armstrong, Enderby and Salmon Arm – All Program Types
Preliminary Market Depth Table for Large Market Area – Supply in 2003
Preliminary Market Depth Table for Small Market Area – Supply in 2003
Analyzing the Data Large Mkt.: • 18,000 over 75’s • 765/18,000 = 4% supply • 10% factor = 1,800 units Small Mkt.: • 1,147 over 75’s • 21/1,147 = 2% supply • 10% factor = 115 units Cantebury Court, Vernon
Sample Custom Cross-Tab Data – Homeowners’ Avail. Income for Housing
Sample Custom Cross-Tab Data –Renters’ Avail. Income for Housing
Final Supply/Demand Analysis (Preliminary*) * Requires further analysis of Small Mkt. Area, mobility trends etc. Owners 72+ with over $1,800 inc. for housing 6,425 Renters 135 Total qualified in the region 6,560 Existing units 57 Proposed 30 Total units 87 Participation rate: 87/6,560 = 1.3% Shuswap Lodge, Salmon Arm