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Impact Evaluation of Rainfall Insurance: Our Policy Outreach Strategy. Presentation by Shahid Vaziralli , Head – Impact Evaluation, Center for Microfinance, IFMR January 12, 2011. Context. Agriculture is the primary livelihood activity for 2/3 of Indians – 800m people
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Impact Evaluation of Rainfall Insurance: Our Policy Outreach Strategy Presentation by ShahidVaziralli, Head – Impact Evaluation, Center for Microfinance, IFMR January 12, 2011
Context • Agriculture is the primary livelihood activity for 2/3 of Indians – 800m people • Almost 70% of all Indian farms are rainfed – 560m people • Almost 90% of them cite unpredictable or inadequate rainfall as the major risk in their lives – 500m people • Studies have shown variations in rainfall to be the primary determinant of crop yields • Traditional area based crop insurance (NAIS) in India has been a failure • Due to lack of good risk mitigating instruments, farmers employ low risk – low return investment choices
The Promise of Index Based Insurance • Quick payouts • Easy to Administer • Low Transaction Cost • Publicly observable • Traditional area based crop insurance (NAIS) in India has been a failure • Basis Risk • Complicated to Understand
The Motivation for Research • What are the factors of demand? • How should we price policies? • How should we market policies? • How should we design policies? • Will it improve people’s lives?
Results • The demand for insurance is extremely price sensitive • Trust and financial literacy are major barriers to demand • Insured farmers switched to riskier cash crops
Policy Influence Strategy • Strong institutional partnerships between researchers and implementer • Agencies must be relevant and powerful • They must be invested in the results of the study • Trust • Open communication and feedback • Examples: Policy design, marketing • Dissemination • Conferences, publications etc • Targeted approach • Examples of high impact RCTs that may never affect public policy due to lack of strong partnership • Trust and financial literacy are major barriers to demand • Insured farmers switched to riskier cash crops