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Making Biodiversity Conservation “Climate smart” 7 September 2012

Making Biodiversity Conservation “Climate smart” 7 September 2012. [. ]. IUCN World Conservation Congress Mary Klein, President & CEO. Emerging lessons from across the tropics: Climate change vulnerability assessment and adaptation planning for biodiversity. Key factors in the tropics:.

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Making Biodiversity Conservation “Climate smart” 7 September 2012

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  1. Making Biodiversity Conservation “Climate smart”7 September 2012 [ ] IUCN World Conservation Congress Mary Klein, President & CEO

  2. Emerging lessons from across the tropics:Climate change vulnerability assessment and adaptation planning for biodiversity

  3. Key factors in the tropics: • High biodiversity • Limited data • Limited resources for conservation • Rapidly expanding human populations • High rates of land conversion

  4. Vulnerability and adaptation in the Andean Cordillera Oriental • From 2009-2011 NatureServe provided technical assistance to FundaciónNatura • Assessed 32 “sentinel species” • Dominant or representative of the ecosystem • Restricted elevation ranges • Conservation targets in the corridor • All major habitat types within the corridor • Used both trait-based assessments and bioclimatic modeling (cutting edge) Abbreviations: PS, Presumed Stable MV, Moderately Vulnerable HV, Highly Vulnerable EV, Extremely Vulnerable

  5. Vulnerability and adaptation in the Andean Cordillera Oriental • Trait assessment results showed different impacts than climate envelope models • Climate envelope models showed big shifts for some species with resilient traits • Combined approach showed importance of connectivity • High elevation areas become important refuges Examples of four patterns of range changes between current and mid century (A2 emissions scenario) distributions predicted using climate envelope models. A, no significant change; B, displacement; C, contraction; D, complete loss of climate envelope.

  6. Villa de Leyva, Colombia, March2012

  7. Lessons: Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment • Consider data availability • Incorporate direct & indirect effects • Span spatial scales • Communicate uncertainty • Monitor baselines Photo of Pasto, Colombiaby Joseph F. Vesti

  8. Lessons: Adaptation Planning • Link actions to vulnerability • Combine mitigation with adaptation • Act despite uncertainty • Monitor impact of actions Sustainable honey harvest Photos courtesy of ProNATURA Veracruz

  9. Lessons: Cross Cutting • Involve stakeholders • Mainstream across sectors • Build capacity • Communicate

  10. Priorities for Future Investments • Reduce threats identified in vulnerability assessment • Stretch funding cycles to include both vulnerability assessment and adaptation • Monitor climate change impacts and strategy effectiveness • Increase capacity to include climate change in conservation planning

  11. NatureServe’s Contributions • Species Climate Change Vulnerability Index – Andean version • Habitat Climate Change Vulnerability Index • Protected Area Vulnerability Analysis • Planned capacity building in South America

  12. Thanks to

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