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Global Trends in the Livestock Sector and FAO Strategies for Livestock Development Raffaele Mattioli, Funzionario in Sanità Animali, AGA. Shares of Population and GNP 1994. World Population Growth and Distribution (%). 3 billions. 5.6 billions. 7.3 billions.
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Global Trendsin theLivestock SectorandFAO Strategiesfor Livestock DevelopmentRaffaele Mattioli, Funzionario in Sanità Animali, AGA
World Population Growthand Distribution (%) 3 billions 5.6 billions 7.3 billions
Global Cereal, Meat and Milk Production 1980 - 1999 (1980 = 100%) % 1980-------------------1990--------------------1999
Meat Demand in Developing Countries Million t
Relationship Between Meat Consumption and Income 5 meat cons. (log scale) 4 China Trend 3 2 1 India 0 10 4 5 6 7 8 9 11 income/person (log scale)
Annual Growth Rates of Different Production Systems in Developing Countries in terms of meat production Industrial systems Mixed systems Grazing systems SSA:Sub-Saharan Africa WANA:West Asia & North Africa CSA:Central & South America
Total cereal use as feed 2020 Region 1983 1993 (million MT) 178 China 40 84 India 2 3 14 Latin America 40 55 92 Sub-Saharan 2 3 5 Africa World 592 636 928
The AGA Division in the Context of FAO’s Strategic Framework 2000 - 2015 Objective Eradication of food insecurity and rural poverty Strategies Policy and regulatory frameworks for food, agriculture, fisheries and forestry Sustainable increases in the supply and availability of food and other products from the crop, livestock, fisheries and forestry sectors Conservation, improvement and sustainable use of natural resources for food and agriculture Improving decision-making through provision of information and assessments and fostering of knowledge management for food and agriculture
Programme Entities Contribution of livestock to poverty alleviation Global strategy for the management of farm animal genetic resources Technologies and systems for efficient and sustainable natural resources use in intensifying and expanding livestock production AGA Livestock Programme
Programme Entities Environmental management of insect-borne diseases Emergency prevention system for transboundary animal diseases Veterinary public health management and food and feed safety AGA Livestock Programme
Programme Entities Livestock information and knowledge system Livestock sector analysis and strategy development AGA Livestock Programme
> - 5 0 0 - 5 0 0 - 0 0 - 2 0 2 0 - 1 0 0 1 0 0 - 2 5 0 2 5 0 - 7 5 0 7 5 0 - 1 5 0 0 1 5 0 0 - 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 - 6 0 0 0 > 6 0 0 0 Total livestock biomass density change (kg/km²): 1962-1994
Estimated disease occurrence score Low disease occurrence High disease occurrence No data
Livestock and Public Health: Facts Livestock and their products can be a major public health hazard low intensity production:“classical zoonoses”(brucellosis, tuberculosis, trichinellosis) zoonoses of “intensification”:caused by bacteria (coli, salmonella, campylobacter) because of animal movements and food processing; antibiotic resistance emerging zoonoses(Nippah virus, BSE, avian flu); creation of “new” pathogens Intensity increases
EU-Geographical BSE Risk Analysis Not done Highly unlikely Unlikely Likely or lower level Confirmed at higher level
FAO Actions • Assist countries in national risk assessment and capacity building for BSE surveillance and control
FMD - evolution of S-Asia serotype 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
FMD - geographical distribution EU countries stopped vaccination in 1992
FMD - assessment and action International collaboration in FMD control is crucial Europe: European Commission for the Control of FMD (EUFMD) Latin America: Hemispheric FMD Eradication Plan (Panaftosa) Africa: Pan-African Programme for the Control of Epizotics (PACE) S-E Asia: Regional FMD control programme (OIE)
Eight Selected Medium-Term Outputs of the AGA Animal Production and Health Programme Global Livestock Information System and Knowledge Framework, including Global Animal Agriculture Atlas Livestock Development Strategy Negotiation Framework Decision Support for R&D Allowing Smallholder Livestock Producers to Enter Competitive Markets Environmental Impact of Livestock Production Assessed State-of-the-World Report on Animal Genetic Resources Feed and Food Safety Codes and Best Practices in Animal Production Integrated Trypanosomiasis Control in Priority Areas The World Without Rinderpest