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Passage Update for Natural-Origin Fall Chinook Salmon Subyearlings at Lower Granite, Little Goose, and McNary Dams in 2005. Objectives : 1) Describe the current status of passage by Snake River subyearlings; 2) Describe the current status of passage by Clearwater
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Passage Update for Natural-Origin Fall Chinook Salmon Subyearlings at Lower Granite, Little Goose, and McNary Dams in 2005
Objectives: 1) Describe the current status of passage by Snake River subyearlings; 2) Describe the current status of passage by Clearwater River subyearlings; 3) Provide a depiction of passage of the basin-wide population by use of 2004 PIT-tag detection data.
Use of the Sandford and Smith (2002) Method to Estimate Daily Passage: n^ = n / ^P; where n = observed PIT-tag detections and ^P = estimated detection probability.
Conclusions: • The PIT-tag data collected in both the Snake and • Clearwater rivers under represents subyearlings that are • less than 60 mm fork length that begin seaward • movement early in the rearing period. • 2) Estimates indicate that passage of natural fall Chinook • salmon of Snake River origin is nearly complete at Lower • Granite, Little Goose, and declining over time at McNary • Dam. • 3) Estimates indicate that passage of natural fall Chinook • salmon of Clearwater River origin is ongoing and will • likely continue from August through next spring.
Key Remaining Critical Uncertainties that Impact Ability to Make Informed Decisions Emigration/movement during non-detection period: Inhibits estimation of juvenile survival. Inhibits estimation of smolt-to-adult survival (SAR’s) for non-detected (in-river) fish. Weakens estimation of representative population scale SAR. Masks true in-river over-wintering distribution. 2) Emigration response to spill conditions: Movement stimulation? 3) Lack of a collaborative monitoring, evaluation, and research plan to be applied across multiple policy/management forums: Need pre-labeled decisions. Need defined data quality/risk thresholds. Need standardized performance measures.