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WP3: Fixing RES-H/C targets. Lukas Kranzl, Andreas Müller RES-H Policy Kick-off, October 2008. WP3 - objective. Determine options for 2020/2030 RES-H/C targets and their trajectories in the seven target countries/regions.
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WP3: Fixing RES-H/C targets Lukas Kranzl, Andreas Müller RES-H Policy Kick-off, October 2008
WP3 - objective • Determine options for 2020/2030 RES-H/C targets and their trajectories in the seven target countries/regions. • Involve national stakeholder and in particular policy makers in that process • Split up the target into different energy sources, technologies and sectors • Assist member states in setting up sector-specific targets in the national action plans.
Target countries • GR • LT • NL • PL • UK • AT (Upper-Austria, Styria/national level?)
Task overview • 3.1. Analysis of existing RES-H/C scenarios and potentials • 3.2. Top-down assessment of RES-H/C targets • 3.3. Bottom-up approach to determine RES-H/C targets • 3.4. Production of target reports • 3.5. Stakeholder dialogue
Deliverables / Output • Target report for each region (~ 50 pages each, national language and english)Month 10 (July 2009) • Synthesis report of consultation process for each region (~10 pages each, national language and english)Month 9 (June 2009) • Documentation of the consultation workshops (~5 pages each, national language and english)Month 10 (July 2009)
Task 3.1 existing scenarios and potentials • Review of regional / national / European studies • Output: Dataset to assess possible RES-H/C market developments (BAU/policy scenarios?)
Task 3.1 existing scenarios and potentials • Basic Structure for literature/scenario review: Time series for various scenarios and/or potentials: • RES-H/C generation by energy sources (biomass, solar, geothermal, ambient heat) • RES-H/C generation by sectors (residential (single dwelling, multiple dwelling, …), service sector, public buildings, industry, …) • RES-H/C generation by technologies (type of biomass boilers, type of solar collectors …) • Energy demand and efficiency improvements (building insulation), if available • Documentation of assumptions, methodology, background data
Task 3.1 next steps • Each partner from target regions provides a list of relevant regional / national / (European) literature and scenarios with a few words describing the content (14 November 08) • EEG (together with ISI) provides consolidated list and first draft of data structure (28 November 08) • Each partner fills in scenario data into data structure (16 January 09) • Documentation of literature / scenario review for the target report (each partner, end of January 09) • All partners comment on the outcomes of task 3.1 (end of February 09)
Task 3.2 top-down • Idea: in Task 3.1. different studies with different methodologies are the basis for the analysis. In this task: common methodology from a single model. • Green-X model runs include scenarios for RES-H/C in each member state until 2020. • Use previous model runs of Green-X to get reference scenarios for RES-H/C development.
Task 3.2 next steps • Preparation and documentation of Green-X results (EEG, ISI, February 09) • Discussion with partners (March 09)
Task 3.3 bottom-up • Solar thermal: • Available roof area • Solar radiation data • Achievable solar fractions for different applications • Biomass: • Available biomass potentials (e.g. EEA 2006) • Penetration rates in different types of buildings and applications • Heat pumps: • Buildings with good thermal quality and low temperature heating systems • Number of those buildings (currently and dynamic) • (Large scale industrial heat pumps: penetration rates)
Task 3.3 bottom-up • For buildings: integration of the results in the simulation tool INVERT • For industrial processes: ECN- RES-HC model
Task 3.3 next steps • Structure for regional/national data requirement (EEG, (ISI), 28 November 08) (ECN???) • Data collection (each target region partner, January 09) • Integration of regional data into models INVERT and RES-HC model (EEG, (ISI), ECN, March 09) • Result documentation (EEG, (ISI), ECN, April 09)
Task 3.4 target reports • Draft report: Synthesis of literature/scenario review (3.1), top-down (3.2) and bottom-up (3.3) • Final report include outcomes of the stakeholder dialogue • Target reports include technology and sector specific targets
Task 3.4 next steps • Draft target report structure (EEG, November 08) • Draft target report (all target country / region partners, April 09) • Comments of all partners on draft target reports (May 09) • Final target reports (all target country / region partners, July 09)
Task 3.5 stakeholder dialogue • Stakeholder consultation: input / comments on findings of tasks 3.1, 3.2, 3.3 and draft target report (web-based questionnaire) • Consultation workshops in each target region: reports on the consultation and the draft reports will be circulated at least 14 days before the workshop • Target groups: • Policy makers (including representatives of national action plans for RES-directive) • Energy agencies • Companies / associations representing RES-H/C technologies • Researchers
Task 3.5 next steps • Stakeholder information (all partners November 08) • Preparation of questionnaire • Draft structure: EEG, March 09 • Web implementation: OEKO?, Mid of April 09 • Regional specification: each target region partner, End of April 09 • Consultation process: each target region partner, May 09 • Synthesis report of consultation: each target region partner, Mid of June 09 • Consultation workshops: each target region partner, June 09 (July 09)
