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AAAS R&D Budget Overview: Process, Trends, Outlook for the ASU Global Security Initiative

AAAS R&D Budget Overview: Process, Trends, Outlook for the ASU Global Security Initiative. David Parkes March 6, 2019. Discussion topics:. Budget cycle/recent appropriations Agency trends 3. Future outlook - Questions and further discussion -. Budget Process at a Glance.

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AAAS R&D Budget Overview: Process, Trends, Outlook for the ASU Global Security Initiative

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  1. AAAS R&D Budget Overview:Process, Trends, Outlookfor the ASU Global Security Initiative David Parkes March 6, 2019

  2. Discussion topics: • Budget cycle/recent appropriations • Agency trends 3. Future outlook - Questions and further discussion -

  3. Budget Process at a Glance Budget Formulation OMB Review “Passbacks” Appropriations 12 Annual Bills → Omnibus Budget Resolution Overall Framework → Discretionary total Mar-Apr May-Sept Oct-Jan Feb Spring Budget Retreats R&D Priorities Memo President’s Budget Request Agency Proposals Fiscal Priorities

  4. In reality…. • Missed deadlines • Budget dysfunction i.e. “Poison pill” policy riders • Continuing resolutions (CRs) • Budget process reform difficult The last time Congress managed to achieve ‘regular order’ was in fiscal 1997

  5. Most Recent Budget Cycle

  6. Research has longstanding support in Congress

  7. For more: R&D Appropriations Dashboard

  8. National Science Foundation (NSF) • Overall boosts past two years → China concerns • Directorate-level debates quieted down • 10 Big Ideas ramping up - ‘Convergence research’ • i-Corps in spotlight • Future NSF re-authorization?

  9. National Institutes of Health (NIH) • $2b boosts (at min.) past 4 years → 21st Century Cures Act • Major initiatives:(FY19) - Alzheimer’s………………….$2.3b - Opioids Research…………$1.3b - Antibiotic Resistance……$550m - BRAIN Initiative…………...$429m - Cancer Moonshot………..$400m - Precision Medicine………$376m • Proposed AHRQ reorg denied • Salary cap proposal rejected

  10. Other agency highlights • NASA – recent boosts for Exploration/Planetary Science • DOE Science – at all high time high • DOD S&T – reached a new high • USDA– strong recent growth for ARS and AFRI • NIST – research growing, but manufacturing stagnant • NOAA – weather/ocean prioritized; climate flat past 4 yrs • USGS – mostly flat past decade; on par with 2009 levels • EPA S&T – long-term decline; 36 percent below FY 2005

  11. Fiscal fights ahead… • Budget agreement negotiations - Final 2 yrs. Sequestration • Debt ceiling - Fall deadline • Deficit hawks increase clout?

  12. House post-midterms • Nita Lowey (D-NY) – House Appropriations Chairwoman - ‘Parity principle’

  13. White House developments… • Kelvin Droegemeier - New OSTP Director • Ongoing priorities - Artificial Intelligence ‘American AI Initiative’ - Quantum science Nat’l Quantum Coordination Office - Space exploration • Lab-to-Market efforts - Return on Investment (ROI) Initiative

  14. Questions? David ParkesE: dparkes@aaas.org T: 202.326.6667 W: https://www.aaas.org/rd

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