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Some Possible Paper Topics. The Taylor Rule. Y = B 1 + B 2 X 2 + B 3 X 3 + u Where Y = Federal Funds Rate X 2 = Inflation Rate X 3 = GDP Growth Rate Other interesting variables my include the S&P 500, Government Deficit, etc. Federal Reserve http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/.
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The Taylor Rule Y = B1 + B2X2 + B3X3 + u Where Y = Federal Funds Rate X2 = Inflation Rate X3 = GDP Growth Rate Other interesting variables my include the S&P 500, Government Deficit, etc. Federal Reserve http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/
Okun’s Law Y = B1 + B2X2 + u Where Y = The change in the unemployment rate X2 = The growth rate of GDP Other interesting variables may include: unemployment insurance, government purchases, etc.
Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) Y = B1 + B2X2 + B3X3 + u Where Y = Personal Consumption Expenditures X2 = Personal Income X3 = Interest Rate Other interesting variables may include: S&P 500, or other measures of “wealth”.
Marginal Propensity to Import Y = B1 + B2X2 + B3X3 + u Where Y = Imports X2 = Personal Income X3 = Exchange Rate Other interesting variables may include: S&P 500, or other measures of “wealth”.
Winning in Sports Y = B1 + B2X2 + B3X3 + … + BKXK + u Where Y = Winning Percentage X2 = Payroll X3 to XK may be variables such as ERA, HR, etc. http://www.rodneyfort.com/SportsData/BizFrame.htm
Performance in Sports Y = B1 + B2X2 + B3X3 + … + BKXK + u Where Y = Salary X2 to XK are various measures of performance, TD, YDS, HR, BA, ERA, etc.
Forecasting A Stock Price Y = B1 + B2X2 + B3X3 + … + BKXK + u Where Y = The price of a specific stock X3 to XK may be variables such as industry specific data, the overall stock market, GDP, etc. http://finance.yahoo.com/
Environmental Quality Y = B1 + B2X2 + B3X3 + … + BKXK + u Where Y = A measure of Environmental Quality X2 to XK are various measures of potential environmental stressors. http://www.yale.edu/esi/
Movies Y = B1 + B2X2 + B3X3 + … + BKXK + u Where Y = Total Revenue X3 to XK may be variables such as number of Academy Awards, “Stars”, Budget, etc. http://www.imdb.com/
Oil Prices Y = B1 + B2X2 + B3X3 + … + BKXK + u Where Y = Oil Price per Barrel X3 to XK may be variables such as U.S. GDP growth, the value of the dollar, etc. http://www.eia.doe.gov/
Record Prices Y = B1 + B2X2 + B3X3 + … + BKXK + u Where Y = Auction Price of Record X3 to XK may be variables such as: Studio, Age of Record, # of Bidders, etc. http://www.popsike.com/
Crime Rates Y = B1 + B2X2 + B3X3 + … + BKXK + u Where Y = Crime Rate X3 to XK may be variables such as Educational Attainment, Per Capita Income, Unemployment, etc. U.S. Dept. of Justice http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/cvict.htm
Other Data Sources • NBER: http://www.nber.org/ • World Bank: http://www.worldbank.org/ • IMF: http://www.imf.org/ • U.S. Statistical Abstract: http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/ • Bureau of Labor Statistics: http://www.bls.gov/ • Bureau of Economic Analysis: http://www.bea.gov/