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Information Spread and Information Maximization in Social Networks. Xie Yiran 5.28. Spreading Through Networks. Application: viral marketing. Purchase decisions are increasingly influenced. by opinions of friends in Social Media. How frequently do you share recommendations online?. 26.
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Information Spread and Information Maximization in Social Networks Xie Yiran 5.28
Application: viral marketing Purchase decisions are increasingly influenced by opinions of friends in Social Media How frequently do you share recommendations online? 26
Viral/Word-of-Mouth Marketing Idea: exploit social influence for marketing Basic assumption: word-of-mouth effect ◦ Actions, opinions, buying behaviors, innovations, etc. propagate in a social network Target users who are likely to produce word-of-mouth diffusion ◦ Additional reach, clicks, conversions, brand awareness ◦ Target the influencers 27
Identifying influencers: start-ups Klout ◦ Measure of overall influence online (mostly Twitter, now FB and LinkedIn) ◦ Score = function of true reach, amplification probability and network influence ◦ Claims score to be highly correlated to clicks, comments and retweets Peer Index ◦ Identifies/Scores authorities on the social web by topic SocialMatica ◦ Ranks 32M people by vertical/topic, claims to take into account quality of authored content Influencer50 ◦ Clients: IBM, Microsoft, SAP, Oracle and a long list of tech companies + Svnetwork, Bluecalypso, CrowdBooster, Sproutsocial, TwentyFeet, EmpireAvenue, Twitaholic , and many others … 31
Finding the influencers … “He’s not a ‘Super Influencer’, he’s a very naughty boy!” 32
Homophily or Influence? Homophily: tendency to stay together with people similar to you “Birds of a feather flock together” E.g. I’m overweight I date overweight girls Influence: force that a person A exerts on a person B that changes the behavior/opinion of B Influence is a causal process E.g. my girlfriend gains weight I gain weight too 36
Viral marketing & The Influence Maximization Problem 33 Problem statement: ◦ find a seed-set of influential people such that by targeting them we maximize the spread of viral propagations 33
Word-of-mouth (WoM) effect in social networks xphone is good xphone is good xphone is good xphone is good xphone is good xphone is good xphone is good Word-of-mouth (viral) marketing is believed to be a promising marketing strategy. Increasing popularity of online social networks may enable large scale viral marketing 2
Diffusion/Propagation Models and the Influence Maximization (IM) Problem 4
Node v • fv (s) : threshold function for v • θv : threshold for v • Reward function : r(A(S)) • A(S) : final set of active nodes • Influence spread: T-1 T
Use greedy algorithm framework • Use Monte Carlo simulations to estimate 𝜎 𝑆
Theory versus Practice ...the trouble about arguments is, they ain't nothing but theories, after all, and theories don't prove nothing, they only give you a place to rest on, a spell, when you are tuckered out butting around and around trying to find out something there ain't no way to find out... There's another trouble about theories: there's always a hole in them somewheres, sure, if you look close enough. - “Tom Sawyer Abroad”, Mark Twain 32