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Breaking Cold Ice How Surface Water Reaches the Bed. R.B. Alley, T.K. Dupont, B.R. Parizek and S. Anandakrishnan Penn State. Water penetrates >1 km of cold ice in Greenland:. Clean water goes down moulins, dirty water comes out the front;
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Breaking Cold IceHow Surface Water Reaches the Bed R.B. Alley, T.K. Dupont, B.R. Parizek and S. Anandakrishnan Penn State
Water penetrates >1 km of cold ice in Greenland: • Clean water goes down moulins, dirty water comes out the front; • When seasonal melting starts, moulin-drained ice near Swiss Camp speeds up (Zwally et al., 2002).
Zwally et al., 2002, Science
Water penetrates >1 km of cold ice in Greenland: • Clean water goes down moulins, dirty water comes out the front; • When seasonal melting starts, moulin-drained ice near Swiss Camp speeds up (Zwally et al., 2002).
Can warming move Greenland meltwater access to bed inland? • If yes, could speed flow by: • Thawing frozen regions (latent heat); • Lubricating thawed regions (pressurized water); • Causing faster ice-sheet melting and sea-level rise than currently modeled.
Moulins form by fracture, then Walder localization of flow: • Physical understanding (surface water can’t drill through 1 km ice); • Observations on glaciers (Larsen B ice shelf, Matanuska Gl., etc.); • Analogy to volcanic eruptions (fire curtains from fissures).
But, isn’t easy for a water-filled crevasse to get through: • Water inflow must exceed freezing: • New crack initially narrow, so water inflow slow, but below top few meters, Greenland ice cold when first broken, so freezes; • Water inflow must keep crack water-filled to reach bed and allow Walder instability: • If water scarce or inflow slow, won’t work.
If crack deep enough and remains water-filled: • Deeper crack is wider allowing more water inflow so doesn’t freeze closed as easily; • Deeper crack opened more easily by larger excess of water pressure over ice pressure; • So deep enough crack should propagate to bed, but shallower cracks should “fail”; • We calculate that “deep enough” is order of tens of meters.
Equations (we do have some): • We think/hope they are mostly right; • Reviewers didn’t yell very loudly; • Closely follow Rubin (1995, Ann. Rev. Earth Planet Sci.) for cracks in magmatic systems; • Lots of uncertainties, may eventually need numerical treatment;
Some equations: • Freezing rate decreases as square-root of time since opening, crack-volume growth increases with depth d and deepening rate u; • Freezing equals opening at: u=k[lM/(-2sy’)]2/d with far-field stress sy’ (k, l are thermal, M elastic parameters).
Some equations: • Water inflow rate increases with crack width (2w)3, which increases with depth d and stress sy’; • Pressure gradient G driving water inflow from crack-tip pressure drop to just allow propagation; • Water inflow (with viscosity h) balances crack growth for u=-G(2w)3M/(48 sy’d h).
So, for moulin formation: • Water-filled crack must reach glacier bed; hence, • Water inflow must exceed crack-opening rate; and • Water inflow must exceed freezing rate; • As shown in next diagram, far-field longitudinal-deviatoric tensile stress magnitude must exceed some minimum value sy_min’ .
Some equations: • Calculating that minimum stress magnitude -sy_min’for crack reaching the bed, we have lots of uncertainties, but get 9 bars for a 1-m-deep crack and 4 bars for a 10-m-deep crack, dropping through zero as the crack becomes deeper; • As expected, small cracks have troubles, and big cracks can go if they tap a big enough water reservoir
How to “nucleate” a crack: • Multiple fracture-heal at a place to warm the ice? • Really high glaciogenic stresses? • We especially like lakes on the surface: • Help warm the ice (must freeze before winter cooling); • Supply big water reservoir to keep crack full; • Supply extra driving stress for crack propagation.
How to grow a lake: • Localized ablation? • Partially healed crevasses? Ogives? • We especially like surface-slope reversals: • Require large longitudinal-deviatoric stress to “raft” ice over bumps or lubrication changes; • Observed in marginal regions, sometimes inland (Lake Vostok has one); • Observed with Greenland lakes.
So, our models suggest: • Hard to start moulins in cold ice; shallow cracks freeze or run out of water; easier with higher tensile stress, warmer ice; • Lakes help by warming, forcing, and supplying water; may be required in Greenland; • In warming world, meltwater access to bed to thaw and lubricate may follow lakes inland; • So modeling surface-slope reversals as well as surface melt will help in projecting future of Greenland ice sheet.
So, why is this at WAIS? • Well, I hope it is interesting; • More important, not that far from regional Antarctic summertime surface melting, which may start in future; • Suppose surface meltwater reaches bed and thaws an inter-ice-stream ridge--flow speed-up not now modeled would follow…