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Obama

Obama. Unique background Questions about his background Well Educated Harvard Ward Politics in Chicago Community Organizer State Senate victory without a race. Obama. Run for Congress in 2000 Defeated in Democrat Primary 31% of vote able to keep Senate seat

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Obama

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  1. Obama • Unique background • Questions about his background • Well Educated • Harvard • Ward Politics in Chicago • Community Organizer • State Senate victory without a race

  2. Obama • Run for Congress in 2000 Defeated in Democrat Primary 31% of vote able to keep Senate seat State Senate Career 1996-2004 Help from Senate President Never had serious race

  3. Obama • United States Senate Race • Wins multi-candidate race • Republican forced to withdraw after records released (Jack Ryan) • Convention Speech 2004 • Instant national celebrity

  4. Obama • United States Senate • Talked bi-partisan but recognized the groups needed for the presidency • Daschle’s chief of staff • Raised $$$$ for Democrat candidates • Decision to run for President • There might not BE another chance • CHANGE

  5. Hillary Clinton • Can anyone defeat Hillary Clinton?

  6. Early Actions • Fundraising • Iraq War • “New Campaign” • Learn a lot in 2007 • “Why I am running for President • CHANGE!!!!! • Early Debates

  7. Early Results • Strategy • Hillary- overwhelming force win early and run the table • Invested BIG in Iowa • LOST • New Hampshire comeback • War of attrition • Different strategy • PARTY RULES

  8. Clinton vs. Obama • South Carolina • Bill Clinton hurts campaign • Black vote strongly with Obama now • Super Tuesday • Split Verdict • Clinton out of money

  9. Clinton vs. Obama • Caucus States go with OBAMA big time • Even wins in CA, OH, TX not enough for Clinton • Super Delegates slowing, but solidly going to Obama • Clinton finally gives in • Agreement to end her campaign debt

  10. Obama improves as a candidate • Gets better at debates • Speeches are the key • Survives difficulties • New Money, New Volunteers, builds on the Howard Dean run from 2004 • Media Darling…even more than McCain

  11. McCain • Early Front-runner • Spent too much…too broad • Traveled alone • No to Iowa….on to New Hampshire • Romney, Giuliani, Thompson, Huckabee… • Thompson

  12. Big 3

  13. Results • Iowa • New Hampshire • Michigan • South Carolina • Florida- key

  14. McCain vs. Obama • McCain fails to take advantage of time • Does not build organization • Relies on tactics as opposed to strategy • Debate challenge and Public Finance challenges fail • Obama continues to build money and organization • Early Voting, more states to compete

  15. McCain vs. Obama • New States • FL, OH, PA of course • Now… • NC, VA, IN, GA, TN, LA, AR,….makes McCain spend money he does not have… • Most often on TV where McCain cant…FL

  16. VP • Obama picks safe…older white guy…with foreign policy • Lieberman was his choice, feared a floor fight • McCain takes a chance to gain womens vote and shake up the race • Good-bad…

  17. Obama vs. McCain • Economic Crisis (Sept 15) Lehman Brothers • Different reactions • “fundamentals of the economy are strong” • PA, Michigan? • McBUSH • Debates reveal nothing • Democrats have better machine for 1st time

  18. Obama- 365-173…FL, NC, VA, CO, NM, NV, IA, IN, OH

  19. What we learned? • America not racist • Democrats compete in all 50 states • Emergence of the internet • Return to person to person contact • Get in race early…organize, learn… • WHY YOU ARE RUNNING for PRESIDENT! • Early Voting • MONEY, MONEY, MONEY • RE-ALIGNMENT?

  20. Democrat Gains 2008 • Democrat Republican • White Vote 43% (+2) 55% • Black Vote 95%(+7) 4% • Hispanic 67% (+7) 31%

  21. OBAMA • Approval…falling • 46%-53% disapprove • High Mark was 69%-26% • Health Care • Stimulus • Debt • Big Government… • Where is transparency?

  22. American Voter • White 74% (-3) • Black 13% (+2) • Hispanic 9% (+1) • other 4%

  23. Trends • Fewer White Voters • 1976 9 of 10 voters • 2008 3 of 4 voters • Hispanic Voters going Democrat • Influential in more states • Youth Vote (18-29)- up 12 pts to 66% Democrat

  24. Trends • New Voters made up 1 of 10 voters • 69% Democrat • Male Vote shrunk from 55 to 48% for Republicans • Wealthy Voters up 8% to 49-49

  25. Interesting • Wealth is UP in 2008 • Under $50k 45% now 38% • 50-100k 37% now 36% • Over 100k 18% now 26% • Wealth did increase…with no inflation

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