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Current management vs Drafted bill with re-zoning vs Expanded wilderness zone. Comparison of Scenarios. There is a biodiversity-economy win-win possible Current management not achieving biological or economic potential
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Current management vs Drafted bill with re-zoning vs Expanded wilderness zone Comparison of Scenarios
There is a biodiversity-economy win-win possible • Current management not achieving biological or economic potential • Re-zoning and built development has costs that reduce its benefits: • new ski tourism at expense of lost nature-tourism • climate change and obligation to compensate for biodiversity damage could affect its profitability • Expanded wilderness zone allows development of nature tourism Key differences in impacts
Re-zoning and development benefits: • outside investors • foresters mainly from outside region • temporary construction activity • seasonal employees in skiing. • Some positive impacts will arise locally, but so will negative impacts of damage to nature-tourism Location and Distribution of Impacts I
Wilderness expansion: emphasis on range of small-scale local services Greater proportion of economic benefit stays within local area Different visitor opportunities at different times of year Location and Distribution of Impacts II
Nature-tourism market is large, growing, competitive • Eco-tourism predicted to expand to 25% of global tourism market by 2020 (from 6% in 2010) • Sumava’s Wilderness is a unique selling point (USP) • nature and economic objectives can align around an expanded wilderness area and expanded tourism activity based on it • Sumava’s wilderness is attracting increasing numbers of visitors: access points to current wilderness areas are "full" in NP. • Increasing visitor access in existing area could damage the USP • Increase visitor access requires enlarged wilderness area Potential in Nature-tourism Market
Thank you! ian@eftec.co.uk www.eftec.co.uk 20th January 2014