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TRADE SURPLUS. Exports exceed Imports. X – M > 0 Americans spend more on our goods than we spend on theirs. (If we have a surplus with them, they have a deficit with us.) Rising commodity prices, such as the rise in oil prices often create a trade surplus in Canada. TRADE DEFICIT.
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TRADE SURPLUS Exports exceed Imports. X – M > 0 Americans spend more on our goods than we spend on theirs. (If we have a surplus with them, they have a deficit with us.) Rising commodity prices, such as the rise in oil prices often create a trade surplus in Canada.
TRADE DEFICIT Imports exceed Exports X – M < 0 Americans spend less on our goods than we spend on theirs. (If we have a deficit with them, they have a surplus with us.) We are more likely to have a trade deficit when commodity prices are low. Bad markets for transportation equipment also reduces our exports.
Lending during a Trade Surplus • If exports are greater than imports, we lend to foreigners. Americans spend more on our goods than we spend on theirs. As a result they want to sell a larger value of US$ to buy CDN$ in order to buy Canadian goods and we want to sell a smaller value of CDN$ to buy US$. If the Canadian trade surplus was $2 billion, then Americans want to sell $2 billion more US$ to buy CDN$ to buy Canadian goods than we want to sell to them to buy American goods When a trade surplus occurs, Americans want to sell more US$ to buy Cdn$ than Canadians want to buy in order to purchase American goods. Americans spend more on our goods than we spend on theirs. We invest the difference in their financial markets • We can’t use US$ in ours, and more US$ are available than Canadians want to buy US goods
Borrowing during a Trade Deficit • If imports are greater than exports, we borrow from foreigners • Americans spend less on our goods than we spend on theirs – We need more US$ to buy US$ goods than we receive from selling Americans Canadian goods. When a trade surplus occurs, Americans want to sell more US$ to buy Cdn$ than Canadians want to buy in order to purchase American goods. Americans spend more on our goods than we spend on theirs. • Americans invest the difference in our financial markets • They can’t use Cdn$ in theirs, and more Cdn$ are available than Americans want in order to buy Cdn goods
International Lending • Decisions to lend to another nation may often cause a trade surplus. • In the 1990s Canadians wanted to invest in US stock markets. They sold Canadian dollars to buy US dollars to buy US stocks. • The Canadian dollar fell to $.63 • A cheap dollar led to cheap exports and exports rose while imports fell
International Borrowing • Decisions to borrow from another nation may often cause a trade deficit. • One factor causing the Cdn$ to rise was the decline in the American stock market and the good performance of the Canadian market. People bought Cdn$ to buy Cdn stocks and drove the price up. • A more expensive dollar has led to more expensive exports. Manufacturing exports were hurt by the rising dollar, so those exports fell.