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Brussels – 29 November 2006. www.oag.com. Agenda. About OAG Global & Regional Outlook Performance of Key Routes Low Cost Trends Top line Facts & Figures. Global & Regional Outlook. Frequency Trend 2001-2006: All Carriers. Worldwide: +4% (Dec. 06 vs. Dec. 05).
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Brussels – 29 November 2006 www.oag.com
Agenda • About OAG • Global & Regional Outlook • Performance of Key Routes • Low Cost Trends • Top line Facts & Figures
Frequency Trend 2001-2006: All Carriers Worldwide: +4% (Dec. 06 vs. Dec. 05) Within Europe: +3% (Dec. 06 vs. Dec. 05) Source: OAG MAX
Within Europe: December 2006 vs. December 2005 +3% +14,700 additional flights 26% contributed by AEA members
Seat Capacity Trend 2001-2006: All Carriers Worldwide: +5% (Dec. 06 vs. Dec. 05) Within Europe: +5% (Dec. 06 vs. Dec. 05) Source: OAG MAX
Within Europe: December 2006 vs. December 2005 +5% +2.9m additional seats 30% contributed by AEA members
December 2006 Outlook vs. December 2005 6% 2% 2% 9% 11% 5% 12% Frequency Growth For Selected Routes
Year on Year Growth: December 06 vs. December 05 Europe – US/Canada (+6%) +1,250 flights per month (400 contributed by AEA carriers) Europe – Asia/Pacific (+9%) +1,900 flights per month (460 contributed by AEA carriers) Europe – Middle East (+11%) +1,250 flights per month (410 contributed by AEA carriers)
Frequency Trend 2001-2006: Low Cost Carriers Worldwide LCC: +14% (Dec. 06 vs. Dec. 05) Within Europe LCC: +13% (Dec. 06 vs. Dec. 05) Source: OAG MAX
Within Europe: December 2006 vs. December 2005 +13% +10,100 additional low cost flights
Seat Capacity Trend 2001-2006: Low Cost Carriers Worldwide LCC: +16% (Dec. 06 vs. Dec. 05) Within Europe LCC: +16% (Dec. 06 vs. Dec. 05) Source: OAG MAX
Within Europe: December 2006 vs. December 2005 +16% +1.9m additional low cost seats
Worldwide: Low Cost Penetration December 2001 Number of flights Number of Seats on LCC flights
Worldwide: Low Cost Penetration December 2002 Number of flights Number of Seats on LCC flights
Worldwide: Low Cost Penetration December 2003 Number of flights Number of Seats on LCC flights
Worldwide: Low Cost Penetration December 2004 Number of flights Number of Seats on LCC flights
Worldwide: Low Cost Penetration December 2005 Number of flights Number of Seats on LCC flights
Worldwide: Low Cost Penetration December 2006 Number of flights Number of Seats on LCC flights
Low cost frequency: Penetration in December 2006 US: 19% = 152K low cost flights Europe: 17% = 89K low cost flights Asia/Pacific: 11% = 55K low costflights
Low cost capacity: Penetration in December 2006 US: 27% = 20.5m low cost seats Europe: 24% = 14.3m low cost seats Asia/Pacific: 11% = 8.2m low cost seats
Outlook for Selected Countries December 06 vs. December 05 + 1,015% + 1% China Domestic US Domestic + 53% + 262% + 14% Japan Domestic India Domestic + 25% Mexico Domestic Brazil Domestic Frequency Growth Within Selected Countries
Outlook for Selected EU Countries December 06 vs. December 05 + 27% + 5% + 16% + 16% + 28% + 38% + 22% + 60% International Frequency Growth For Selected EU Countries
Baltic States - Frequency Trend 2001-2006: LCC Carriers +350 more Low Cost Flights December 2006 vs. December 2005 (+60%) Source: OAG MAX
Poland - Frequency Trend 2001-2006: LCC Carriers +1,200 more Low Cost Flights December 2006 vs. December 2005 (+38%) Source: OAG MAX
Germany - Frequency Trend 2001-2006: LCC Carriers +2,200 more Low Cost Flights December 2006 vs. December 2005 (+16%) Source: OAG MAX
UK - Frequency Trend 2001-2006: LCC Carriers +1,700 more Low Cost Flights December 2006 vs. December 2005 (+5%) Source: OAG MAX
Top LCCs in Terms of Monthly Volume of Flights Source: OAG MAX – December 2006
Busiest Airports in Terms of Monthly Volume of LCC Flights Source: OAG MAX – December 2006
Busiest Routes based on Number of Available LCC Flights Cologne – Berlin Tegel (dba – Hapag Lloyd Express) Cologne – Munich (dba – germanwings) Hamburg – Munich (dba – germanwings) Dublin – Stansted (Ryanair) Oslo – Trondheim Vaernes (Norwegian) Bergen – Oslo (Norwegian) Stuttgart – Berlin Tegel (dba – Hapag-Lloyd Express) Munich – Berlin Tegel (dba) Dusseldorf – Munich (dba) Hamburg – Stuttgart (dba – germanwings) Source: OAG MAX – December 2006