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The President II

The President II. 9/26/2011. Clearly Stated Learning Objectives. Upon completion of this course, students will be able to: understand and interpret the United States Constitution and apply it to the present (the sections on the presidency and Electoral College).

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The President II

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  1. The President II 9/26/2011

  2. Clearly Stated Learning Objectives • Upon completion of this course, students will be able to: • understand and interpret the United States Constitution and apply it to the present (the sections on the presidency and Electoral College). • assess the 2008 & 2012 Presidential Elections without resorting to partisan bickering. • identify and explain the role of formal and informal institutions and their effect on policy.

  3. Office Hours and Readings • Readings- Chapter 9 on the President, pp. 211-218 • Office Hours • Tomorrow 8-12 • Wednesday 8-10:30

  4. How you get the nomination?

  5. Step 1 Don’t Sit back at wait • You have to participate in the invisible primary • If you wait, your window might close

  6. Step 2: Have a “Presidential Job”

  7. The Current GOP Field Presidential Jobs Non-Presidential Jobs House Members Gingrich Bachmann Paul Other Herman Cain • Governors • Perry • Romney • Huntsman • Senators • Santorum

  8. Step 3: Be Prepared to Spend Money • Money Buys Organization • Money Buys Name Recognition • Money Converts itself

  9. Federal Money vs. Self-financing

  10. The Effect of Money on Campaigns • How it has changed the primary campaign • How important is it? • Where We stand

  11. Step 4:Getting Delegates • Primaries • Caucuses • Which helped Obama?

  12. Delegate Apportionment The Democrats The Republicans Fewer Delegates More winner-take-all states • More Delegates • Proportional Representation • Super Delegates

  13. Front-loading of Delegates

  14. Frontloading and 2012 • The GOP is making more states use proportional representation • They do not want an early nominee. • Pro’s and Cons of a longer primary?

  15. Step 5: Momentum • Looking like a winner and Actually winning • Media coverage goes to those who can win. • Be the last person standing (winnowing)

  16. The First Four • Iowa • New Hampshire • Nevada • South Carolina

  17. Step 6: Delegates Matter

  18. The Clinton Strategy: 2008 • Deliver the Knock-out blow on super-tuesday • Reload • Watch the GOP fight it out all spring

  19. How Mc Cain Wins Early: 2008 • Winner-take-all states • Romney and Huckabee go after each other • The Early win is A blessing and a curse for McCain

  20. Winning the Electoral College The Way to become president

  21. The Electoral College • What doesn’t matter • Nationwide popular vote • Number of states won • Number of Congressional districts won • You need a majority of the Electoral Votes to Win

  22. Why the Electoral College? • Logistics • Federalism and Compromise • Fear of Mob Rule

  23. The Electoral College • 538 Electoral Votes • Texas has 38 • 270 to win • Electors are actual People

  24. What if No one wins?

  25. Who the Electoral College Helps • Big States • Small States • Swing States

  26. It helps the winner

  27. Who Does it Hurt • Third Parties • Remote States • Partisan States

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