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Aedes mosquito

Dengue forecasting Model Satellite-based System. Aedes mosquito. Introducing an EO-driven Dengue Fever F orecasting S ystem for Vietnam Barbara Hofmann, Felipe Colon, Alison Hopkin & the D-MOSS Team b.hofmann@hrwallingford.com. NCEO 2019 Nottingham 02-05.09.2019.

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Aedes mosquito

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  1. Dengue forecasting Model Satellite-based System Aedes mosquito Introducing an EO-driven Dengue Fever Forecasting System for VietnamBarbara Hofmann, Felipe Colon, Alison Hopkin & the D-MOSS Teamb.hofmann@hrwallingford.com • NCEO 2019Nottingham 02-05.09.2019

  2. The Impact of Dengue Fever Source: Booth, 2016; Shepard et al, 2016

  3. Dengue and climate • Temperature • Influences development times of the mosquito and the virus, • Mosquito survival and • Adult size • Egg-laying (oviposition) cycle • Precipitation • Create/destroy breeding sites • Humidity • Mosquito survival • Wind speed • Movement of mosquito across space Dengue risk Rainfall Dengue risk Temperature

  4. The human factor • Proxi data sets • Landcover • Urban • Periurban • Rural • Population • Existing dengue cases

  5. Hanoi Ho Chi Minh City Dengue Cases N S

  6. Summary • Preliminary results • Operational since July 2019 • Automatic AWS based system • Shape but not always magnitude • Regional discrepancies • Next steps • Glosea5 bias correction • Skill assessment • Dengue model improvements • Website updates • Test influence of different data sets • Expansion to SE Asia

  7. Project team

  8. To help with • Budget Setting (long term) • Budget Distribution (medium term) • Community Action (medium term) • Immediate Response (short term) • Site Specific Spraying • Inspection • Area Spraying • Planning and policy changes

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