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SECRETARÍA DE ESTADO DE INFRAESTRUCTURAS Y PLANIFICACIÓN . MINISTERIO DE FOMENTO. DIRECCIÓN GENERAL DE PLANIFICACIÓN Y COORDINACIÓN TERRITORIAL. CENTRO DE ESTUDIOS Y EXPERIMENTACIÓN DE OBRAS PÚBLICAS. Encuentro: “ Intermodalidad de viajeros”
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SECRETARÍA DE ESTADO DE INFRAESTRUCTURAS Y PLANIFICACIÓN MINISTERIO DE FOMENTO DIRECCIÓN GENERAL DE PLANIFICACIÓN Y COORDINACIÓN TERRITORIAL CENTRO DE ESTUDIOS Y EXPERIMENTACIÓN DE OBRAS PÚBLICAS Encuentro: “Intermodalidad de viajeros” Interurban passenger transport planification Alain Sauvant Madrid, 4 de noviembre de 2004 Alain SAUVANT
Interurban passenger transport planification An overview of methods currently used in France
Outline of presentation • Multimodal national monitoring scheme • Multimodal strategic corridors and nodes monitoring scheme • 2025 traffic forecasts • 2025 infrastructure maps Alain SAUVANT
National monitoring scheme • To follow aggregate transport policy relevant indicators in France • Such as national road traffic, rail transport, prices, quality of service, modal split or the environment • Passenger and freight • With « out of track » indicators Alain SAUVANT
Passenger cars (veh.km on all road networks) Draft document Alain SAUVANT
Road transport CO2 emissions Draft document Alain SAUVANT
Strategic corridors and nodes monitoring scheme • To follow transport policy relevant indicators in a given corridor or node in France • Passenger and freight • Such as traffic, prices, quality of service, environment, safety, accessibility Alain SAUVANT
Modal split in 2000 Alain SAUVANT
Frequencies by mode from Paris Alain SAUVANT
Access to airports and TGV stations in Paris Alain SAUVANT
Access to European capitals by air from the French regions Alain SAUVANT
Punctuality from Paris (rail+air) Alain SAUVANT
Passengers per plane or TGV Alain SAUVANT
Noise levels at CDG airport Alain SAUVANT
Passenger flows across the Pyrenees Alain SAUVANT
Road accidents and fatalities Alain SAUVANT
Cross-channel passenger flows Alain SAUVANT
Passenger flows and modal split Alain SAUVANT
Number of trains (passenger+freight) Alain SAUVANT
Interurban NOx emissions (passenger +freight) Alain SAUVANT
Journey times across France Alain SAUVANT
Access to major European capitals Alain SAUVANT
Quality of access to major road network nodes Alain SAUVANT
Quality of access to major railway stations Alain SAUVANT
Quality of access to airports Alain SAUVANT
Quality of access (rail+air) Alain SAUVANT
2025 Traffic forecasts • Integrated multimodal approach • Econometric models • Passenger and goods traffic • Environment • To be used for project appraisal (rate of return evaluation) in all modes Alain SAUVANT
Macroeconomic and transport policy context • GDP growth in France = 1,9 % per year • Ageing population • Oil price : 35 $/baril in 2025 • Exchange rate in 2025 : 1€ = 1$ • Increase of passenger diesel oil prices Alain SAUVANT
Towards smaller road traffic growth Alain SAUVANT
Slower domestic air transport growth Alain SAUVANT
Continuing passenger rail transport growth Around 1500 additional km of high speed lines, stable rail prices, increase of taxes on passenger diesel Alain SAUVANT
Public sector financing needs by modes per year Source : from Audit IGF/CGPC Alain SAUVANT
State funding needs Source : from Audit IGF/CGPC Alain SAUVANT
New infrastructure plans • Common standards for all project evaluations in all modes • Instruction de Robien – Boiteux commission report • A mix of project evaluation and land planning considerations Alain SAUVANT
Government infrastructure plan decisions • CIADT of december 2003 • Infrastructure plan of 2025 • Established a new agency for multimodal funding Alain SAUVANT
National road infrastructures by 2025 Alain SAUVANT
Other terrestrial modes’ infrastructures by 2025 Alain SAUVANT
Outlook • Towards strategic corridors and nodes 2025 traffic and environment forecasts • Towards an urban transport and territories monitoring scheme Alain SAUVANT
Link to web sites of monitoring schemes Strategic nodes and corridors monitoring schemes http://www.equipement.gouv.fr/statistiques/analyses/etudes/transpor/indicateurs2004/somm_indicateurs2004.htm National monitoring scheme http://www.equipement.gouv.fr/statistiques/analyses/etudes/etudes_.htm Alain SAUVANT