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Business Cycles: The Austrian View. M. Rothbard. D. Ricardo. ECO 285 – Macroeconomics – Dr. Dennis Foster. L. von Mises. J. M. Keynes. Special Readings, et al. Mises Wiki on the Austrian Business Cycle: http:// wiki.mises.org/wiki/Austrian_Business_Cycle_Theory
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Business Cycles:The Austrian View M. Rothbard D. Ricardo ECO 285 – Macroeconomics – Dr. Dennis Foster L. von Mises J. M. Keynes
Special Readings, et al. Mises Wiki on the Austrian Business Cycle: http://wiki.mises.org/wiki/Austrian_Business_Cycle_Theory Murray Rothbard on “Why the Business Cycle Happens”: http://mises.org/daily/1558 Dan Mahoney on “ABCT: A Brief Explanation”: http://mises.org/daily/672 Patrick Barron, “Fear the Boom, Not the Bust”: http://mises.org/daily/5150/Fear-the-Boom-Not-the-Bust Bob Murphy on “Three Flawed Fed Exit Options”: http://mises.org/daily/5110/Three-Flawed-Fed-Exit-Options Tom Woods YouTube video on the Austrian Business Cycle Theory: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5K4Os5eXPw4 Thomas Taylor, An Introduction to Austrian Economics – Chapter 8 only: http://mises.org/books/introtoaustrian.pdf
Why are there Business Cycles? Flaw of Capitalism/Market System • Observable since late 1700s. • Coincides with Industrial Revolution/Capitalism. • Something inherent in the market. • Will worsen until system collapses. K. Marx
Why are there Business Cycles? Flaw of Capitalism/Market System • Under-consumption theory. • “Excessive spending” causes inflation. • “Insufficient spending” causes depression. • aka, too much saving!!! • Need G to stabilize economy! J. M. Keynes T. Malthus
No, Really, Why are there Business Cycles? Any theory must explain the following: • Tendency towards repetitive cycles. • “Mammoth” cluster of entrepreneurial errors. • Why depression is more intense in K-goods. • Why retail is the “last and least” to fall. M. Rothbard
No, Really, Why are there Business Cycles? Hume/Ricardo & Classical Economics: • It’s not markets, but banking that is the key. • Banks expand credit and fuel inflation. • Because it is a “fractional reserve” system. • imports, exports, gold outflows. • Banks get nervous, credit, causing recession. D. Hume D. Ricardo
No, Really, Why are there Business Cycles? von Mises & the Austrians • Central bank precipitates cycle. • Effect is to interest rates. • Leads to unsustainable increase in Investment. • Eventually, the recession comes to correct for this unsustainable path. • Explains all the salient features of cycle. L. von Mises F. Hayek
How should gov’t. address Business Cycles? von Mises & the Austrians • Stop inflating money in the first place! • Don’t bail out troubled firms! • Don’t inflate to get out of the depression! • Don’t encourage more consumption! L. von Mises What are we doing? F. Hayek
Business Cycles:The Austrian View M. Rothbard D. Ricardo ECO 285 – Macroeconomics – Dr. Dennis Foster L. von Mises J. M. Keynes