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Wider Context Some Key Issues. Demography Differential Performance ‘The Gap’. Demography – projected trends . Post-Primary Age Population to decline by a fifth by 2020. Secondary:Grammar Ratios. By 2020 grammar and secondary ratio will be 50:50. Impact on Secondary Schools.
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Wider ContextSome Key Issues • Demography • Differential Performance • ‘The Gap’
Demography – projected trends • Post-Primary Age Population to decline by a fifth by 2020
Secondary:Grammar Ratios • By 2020 grammar and secondary ratio will be 50:50
Impact on Secondary Schools • Viability of some schools – closures, amalgamations, rationalisation • Ability mix within schools • Impact will be greater in particular areas
Impact on Grammar Schools • Ability mix within schools • In 16 Grammar Schools, 95% or more of admissions were As or B1s in September 2002 • 8% of admissions to grammar schools are Cs or Ds at present • 21 grammar schools with 10% admissions with Cs and Ds in Transfer Test • 10 schools with 20% or more Cs and Ds admitted