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Slides and resources:. www.millerkonstanz.wordpress.com. Theories of variation in imprisonment. Race/minority threat (conflict theory) Confirmation bias Will dominant groups inevitably punish minority (or less powerful) groups more harshly? Social welfare provision
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Slides and resources: www.millerkonstanz.wordpress.com
Theories of variation in imprisonment • Race/minority threat (conflict theory) • Confirmation bias • Will dominant groups inevitably punish minority (or less powerful) groups more harshly? • Social welfare provision • How might relative levels of social welfare provisions be related to rates of crime and punishment? • What specific welfare features do you think are especially important? • Do levels of social welfare affect imprisonment rates, independent of crime rates?
Causal processes: • Correlation is not causality • Theories of punishment can apply only to punishment, to punishment through crime rates, or can apply to both crime rates and punishment. • Growing minority population dominant group fear of loss policies and practices that target non-dominant groups more than dominant ones • Non-dominant population poorer etc and/or frustrated with obstacles to progress crime policies and practices that treat minorities particularly harshly
How might higher social welfare spending cause lower imprisonment? Which social welfare provisions are especially important? • Is crime a necessary element in the causal chain?
Homicide rates in the 19th century • England and Wales: homicide rates fell after 1867 and 1884 • 1867 and 1884 Reform Acts extending franchise • Canada: falling rates in core provinces after Independence (1867) but continued to be high in western (unincorporated) frontier. • Frontier conflicts: English Protestants and Irish Catholics; Metis (mixed race) and English/Scots-Irish • Italy: homicide rate plummeted after unification and emergence of strong central government in 1860s • Germany: rapid decline after German unification in 1871 • France: some increase in homicide but constant political turmoil, radically different ideologies, duels, assassinations. • Only in US do homicides grow continuously and dramatically. Why?
Homicide in the north • Loss of economic independence • decline in self-employment, rise of wage labor • Immigration: Irish, Italian, German • Conflict over class/economic opportunity but also religion (most new immigrants were Catholic) • Mexican war/slavery, westward expansion increased hostile feelings of northerners • Anger at govt failure to protect them, decline in fellow feeling, frustrating over limited opportunity for self-employment – decline in political and social legitimacy • Impulsive, petty murders increased, as well as domestic murders, rape murders, neighbor/family murders and murder between different race, class, ethnic groups • Who’s government is it anyway?
Homicide in the south • Less violence in rural/plantation areas – proslavery bond among whites • More violence in southern cities where conflict between Confederacy/Unionists was greater • Confederates murdered Union sympathizers at high rates • Lynching of “peace party” in Texas (TX esp. violent) • Areas that Union lost but South couldn’t control (border areas) especially bad • Even post CW, violence continued: revenge murders, political murders, honorific killings (primarily former confederates) • “Wherever reactionary whites remained in power [former confederates], they killed at the same rate they had before the war. Where they lost power, they killed with abandon” (p. 348) • Lack of effective government in post-war south
Lack of trust and legitimacy in 19th c. U.S. • Immigration: unskilled laborers of Irish, French Canadian, German Catholics and Chinese origin; exclusion and discrimination • Economic hardship: Native-born whites (mostly English and German Protestants) declining standard of living, overflowing tenements, growing economic inequality • Slavery/conquest: White settlement of Native and Hispanic (formerly Mexico) areas; growing conflict between slave masters and abolitionists Polarized politics along class, region, race/ethnicity, religion • Conflict over whether Irish, German, Chinese immigrants would become full citizens, whether slavery should spread into western territories • Decline in patriotism • Increasing sense in many (all?) groups that government wasn’t on their side • Heightened sensitivity about social status and respect Growth in everyday murders from: sexual assault, robbery, property disputes, etc
Firearm homicides, as percent of all homicides, 1980-2008Source: BJS, FBI/UCR