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Class 18: Debating Lomborg

Class 18: Debating Lomborg. P. Brian Fisher CofC : POLS 405 Spring 2011. Lomborg’s Proposal. Massive investments in R&D Commit 0.05% of GDP Should be enough to keep temp from increasing beyond 5°F (from today). Avoid emission cuts—waste of $$

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Class 18: Debating Lomborg

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  1. Class 18: Debating Lomborg P. Brian Fisher CofC: POLS 405 Spring 2011

  2. Lomborg’s Proposal • Massive investments in R&D • Commit 0.05% of GDP • Should be enough to keep temp from increasing beyond 5°F (from today). • Avoid emission cuts—waste of $$ • b/c “global warming damages run about 1% GDP, while cost is at 2% GDP • Stern: Cost is 1% GDP while benefits are 20% (giving increasing costs of inaction)

  3. Global Marshall Plan (Gore) Five strategic goals 1. stabilizing of world population 2. the rapid development of environmentally appropriate technologies 3. a comprehensive change in the economic "rules of the road" by which we measure the impact of our decisions on the environment 4. negotiation & approval of a new generation of international agreements 5. a cooperative plan for educating the world's citizens about our global environment. SEE: www.globalmarshallplan.org

  4. Vids • Pawlyn Part 2 • Pawlyn Part 3 • Pawlyn Debates Lomborg Part 2 • Part 3 • Lomborg on Panel debate (Munk Debate) Dec 2009 (Stern Report) • Lomborg’s final argument (Munk Debate) (4m)

  5. Countering Lomborg: To Mitigate GCC or not? • All affected including US—mitigated now is a reduced cost to all • Technology driven—technology race Lomborg just calls for more R&D, not driven by sectoral or emissions targets that fuel innovation • Collapsing ecosystems • Diminishing ecosystem services which will increase their cost (not accounted for by Lomborg) • Climate inertia and potential “Runaway global warming”—major tipping points • No looking back…can’t change your mind 20-30 later…effects are irreversible

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