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Explore the timeline and financial framework of the 2021 Census in Serbia, including key findings, possible census methods, and the activity plan for implementation.
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2021 Census in the Republic of Serbia– Timeline and financial framework – SnežanaLakčević Technical Coordination Group / Zagreb,25-26 January 2018
Reminder Main findings: • Key administrative sources are not established (Population register, Register of buildings and dwellings, Register of education) • Address register is not complete and updated • Limitations in coverage and quality • Administrative sources cannot provide all core variables • Data on ethnicity and religious affiliation are necessary for implementing national laws and other legal actsconcerningrealization of ethnic minorities rights • Classifications and definitions are not mutually compliant Conclusion:There are noadequate conditions forimplementing register basedcensus in the 2020 census round With the aim to work on improvement of the Population Census, SORS has conducted project “Statistical Population Register“during 2014 and 2015
Possible changes of the census method – ”pros and cons“ • During 2016 – detailed comparative analysis of census methods: • Register based census • Interview-Paper questionnaire • Self enumeration (CAWI) • Computer-assisted personal interviewing(CAPI) • CAPI had the most “pros”, e.g.: • positive experience in other statistical surveys • real-time monitoring of enumerators' work • online download of collected data and monitoring coverage • increasing quality: logical as control integral part of the application, validation of the entered data on the spot, reduced enumerators’ errors • shorter time required for data processing, earlier start of dissemination of final results • Some of CAPI “cons” • high cost of procurement of laptops • longer enumeration period • complex training of direct participants
Activity plan 2017- 2022 • Project management • Developed approximate budget • Beginning of methodological and organizational preparations • Consultations with different users of census data 2017 • Defining content of census questionnaires • Preparation for the Pilot • Field updating of spatial data • Design and development of information system and applications • Preparing methodological and organisational instruments • Testing questionnaires and applications 2018 • Financial resources defined – by the end of March 2019 • Pilot Census: • Trainings at all levels • Conducting Pilot Census (April 2019) - CAWI/CAPI • Pilot PES • Data processing • Analysing all phases of the Pilot Census • 2021 Census Law – by the end of 2019 2019
Activity plan 2017- 2022 • Implementation of conclusions – correcting methodological and organizational instruments (additional consultations) • Updating spatial data and creating electronic maps of EAs – by the end of 2020 • Development and preparation of media campaign • Selection of direct participants • Training of controllers • Procurement of laptops – by the end of June 2020 • Training of enumerators – by the end of March • Enumeration – 1-30 April 2021 • PES • Data processing • Preliminary results – by the end of May • Final results – beginning of dissemination 2021 • Dissemination • Georeferenced data – 1km2 grid • Quality report 2022
2021 Census financing • IPA 2015 MB – July 2017 – July 2019 • Pilot Census 2019 • IPA 2018 National – programming in progress • 2021 Population census • 2021 Census of agriculture • 2019 European Health Interview Survey (EHIS) • 2019 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS) • EU funds (57%) and National budget (43%)
Structure of costs, by census rounds Other costs Dissemination Data processing Travel costs Fieldwork Training Media campaign Equipment Printing Field preparation
Additional costs • At the time of the 2011 Census, by the Law on Income Tax for Citizens, the fees for work in the census were exempt from tax. • However, that Law was changed in 2013, so in the 2021 Census we must pay a tax on wages of all temporary engaged participants (about 20 000 persons) • That will increase the price of the 2021 Census for about 6 million euros. • If we had to pay the wage tax for 40 000 enumerators, the price of the 2011 Census would be near 7 million euros higher.
Snežana Lakčević Assistant Director for Social Statistics snezana.lakcevic@stat.gov.rs Thank you for your attention!