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About this Presentation. Understanding Climate Change Climate Change Action Plan Elements Climate Change Action Plan Target. Why a Climate Change Action Plan?. Climate Change is a reality Global & local issue Environmental, Social & Economic No quick fix No silver bullet.

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  1. Advice to Minister

  2. About this Presentation • Understanding Climate Change • Climate Change Action Plan Elements • Climate Change Action Plan Target Advice to Minister

  3. Why a Climate Change Action Plan? • Climate Change is a reality • Global & local issue • Environmental, Social & Economic • No quick fix • No silver bullet Advice to Minister

  4. Who is Affected by Climate Change? • Farmers • Fishers • Foresters • New Brunswickers • Visitors • Commerce Advice to Minister

  5. Advice to Minister

  6. Carbon dioxide 91% Advice to Minister

  7. Temperature - Up 0.70 C • Snow pack – Down 25% (N) & 50% (S) • Sea level rise – Up 30 cm • Extreme storm events – 5 X as frequent Climate Observations in NB Advice to Minister

  8. Why a Climate Change Action Plan? • A plan for New Brunswick • What we can do • Goals • Contribute to the global effort (Kyoto) • Help achieve NEG/ECP targets • New Brunswick’s share • Local response Advice to Minister

  9. NB’s Climate Change Action Plan • Emission reduction • Adaptation, • Community engagement Advice to Minister

  10. NB’s Climate Change Action Plan • Built by departments’ & agencies’ contributions • Stakeholder consultation • Charter for Change & Self Sufficiency Goal • Many of the actions already endorsed by other jurisdictions Advice to Minister

  11. 22.0 CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) 16.1 2 Actual 1990 2004 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 Year Advice to Minister References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment

  12. NB Emission Sources • Total of 22 Mt. in 2004 • 13 Mt. From Industry • NB Power 8.0 Mt. • Refinery 3.3 Mt. • Pulp and Paper 0.6 Mt. • Other 1.1 Mt. • 6 Mt. From Transportation • 3 Mt. Other Sources Advice to Minister

  13. 25.3 23.2 22.0 CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) 16.1 2 Estimated Actual 1990 2004 2012 2020 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 Year Advice to Minister References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment

  14. NB’s Climate Change Action Plan • Emission reduction • Adaptation • Community engagement Advice to Minister

  15. NB’s Climate Change Action Plan • Emission reduction • Renewable Energy & Efficiency • Transportation • Waste Management • Industrial Sources • Other Advice to Minister

  16. 23.2 22.0 Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2) CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) 16.1 2 Estimated Actual ’07 1990 2004 2012 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 Year Advice to Minister References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment

  17. Renewable Energy & Efficiency Efficiency NB programs 400 Mw of wind energy Biomass opportunities Tidal power opportunities Building & equipment stds. Off electricity strategies Advice to Minister

  18. 25.3 23.2 22.0 CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) Transportation (1.2) 16.1 2 Estimated Actual 1990 2004 2012 2020 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 30.0 25.0 Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2) 20.0 15.0 10.0 ’07 Year Advice to Minister References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment

  19. Transportation Intelligent Transportation System Provincial Public Transportation Strategy Alternative Fuels Trucking industry partnerships Fuel efficient vehicles Advice to Minister

  20. 25.3 23.2 22.0 CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) Waste Management (1.2) 16.1 2 Estimated Actual 1990 2004 2012 2020 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 30.0 25.0 Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2) Transportation (1.2) 20.0 15.0 10.0 ’07 Year Advice to Minister References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment

  21. Waste Management Methane capture Composting Air conditioning replacement gases Advice to Minister

  22. 25.3 23.2 22.0 CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) Industrial Sources (0.7) 16.1 2 Estimated Actual 1990 2004 2012 2020 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emmissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 30.0 25.0 Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2) Transportation (1.2) 20.0 Waste Management (1.2) 15.0 10.0 ’07 Year Advice to Minister References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment

  23. Industrial Sources Best-available technology standards for new projects Less carbon-intensive energy options NB Innovation Foundation – funded research GHG offset credits Advice to Minister

  24. 25.3 23.2 22.0 CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) Other* - Government Leading by Example / Partnership & Communications Other* (0.2) 16.1 2 Estimated Actual 1990 2004 2012 2020 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 30.0 25.0 Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2) Transportation (1.2) 20.0 Waste Management (1.2) Industrial Sources (0.7) 15.0 10.0 ’07 Year Advice to Minister References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment

  25. Government Leading by Example Procurement Transportation Buildings Energy management Sharing best practices Partnerships with Communities Establish dialogue Remove barriers to green municipal actions. Other Advice to Minister

  26. 25.3 23.2 22.0 CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) 17.7 16.1 2 Estimated Actual 1990 2004 2012 2020 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 30.0 25.0 Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2) Transportation (1.2) 20.0 Other* - Government Leading by Example / Partnership & Communications Waste Management (1.2) Industrial Sources (0.7) Other* (0.2) 15.0 10.0 ’07 Year Advice to Minister References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment

  27. 25.3 23.2 22.0 CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) 17.7 16.1 Federal Leadership & Support (1.6) 2 Estimated Actual 1990 2004 2012 2020 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 30.0 25.0 Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2) Transportation (1.2) 20.0 Other* - Government Leading by Example / Partnership & Communications Waste Management (1.2) Industrial Sources (0.7) Other* (0.2) 15.0 10.0 ’07 Year Advice to Minister References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment

  28. Federal Framework 18% emission intensity reduction in 2010 2% a year after that Through: Credit for early actions On site improvements Technology Fund investment credits Other credit trading Advice to Minister

  29. 25.3 (1990) 16.1 23.2 22.0 CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) 17.7 16.1 2 14.5 (NEG/ECP) Estimated Actual 1990 2004 2012 2020 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 30.0 25.0 Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2) Other* - Government Leading by Example / Partnership & Communications Transportation (1.2) 20.0 Waste Management (1.2) Industrial Sources (0.7) Other* (0.2) Federal Leadership & Support (1.6) 15.0 10.0 ’07 Year Advice to Minister References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment

  30. NB’s Climate Change Action Plan • Emission reduction • Adaptation • Community engagement Advice to Minister

  31. Adapting to Climate Change • Already impacting communities & commerce • Seasonal uncertainties • Water concerns • Habitat and ecosystem changes • Health & public safety • Resource industry sectors impacted • The “do nothing” approach will result in greater cost, vulnerability and risk Advice to Minister

  32. Actions to Adapt • Provincial risk assessment to identify vulnerabilities and priority actions • “Climate proof” development decisions • Strengthen measures to protect coastal areas • Adaptive management of natural resources Advice to Minister

  33. NB’s Climate Change Action Plan • Emission reduction • Adaptation • Community engagement Advice to Minister

  34. Education / Awareness Shared responsibility addressed by all levels of government Support the development of community-based engagement Encourage beneficial individual actions Community Engagement Advice to Minister

  35. Coordination through Climate Change Secretariat Responsibility rests with individual depts. Regulatory/Policy changes Variable implementation timelines Must begin now in order to realize reductions in 2012 Implementation Advice to Minister

  36. Generation of economic opportunities Cost to consumers in short term Cost savings to consumers in near term ecoTrust funding/other federal “Eco” $ Financial Considerations Advice to Minister

  37. Summary • 7.1 Mt. reduction in 2012 • Lays groundwork for 2020 • Maintain level playing field for industry • “Climate proof” development decisions • Engagement of communities and New Brunswickers Advice to Minister

  38. 25.3 (1990) 16.1 23.2 22.0 CO Equivalent (Megatonnes) 17.7 16.1 2 14.5 (NEG/ECP) Estimated Actual 1990 2004 2012 2020 Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions Scenarios in New Brunswick 30.0 25.0 Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2) Other* - Government Leading by Example / Partnership & Communications Transportation (1.2) 20.0 Waste Management (1.2) Industrial Sources (0.7) Other* (0.2) Federal Leadership & Support (1.6) 15.0 10.0 ’07 Year Advice to Minister References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment

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