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Analyzing the competition concerns, failing firm defense, and merger efficiencies of the Imerys-Goonvean acquisition in the kaolin market. The Competition Commission's decision and implications are discussed.
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Competition Law Association Merger efficiencies and the failing firm defence – a change of emphasis? 26 February 2014 Nigel Parr
Imerys/Goonvean - background • Imerys part of the largest industrial minerals company in the world • Goonvean family owned with kaolin turnover of £17m • Both extract and process kaolin in mid-Cornwall • One UK competitor (Sibelco) and several European producers • 90% of production is exported, EC had found European or worldwide markets (e.g. Imetal/ECC, Omya/Huber) • Goonvean also processed kaolin waste into secondary aggregates (it retained this business) • Acquisition completed in November 2012 • Rationale was to improve competitiveness in serving export markets by reducing fixed and variable costs (e.g. by merging adjacent pits), obtaining access to certain Goonvean reserves and extend life-of-mine • Referred to CC due to competition concerns in 4 UK markets: • kaolin for paper filler (parties were the only suppliers) • kaolin for tableware, sanitaryware and performance minerals (parties had market shares of 70-95%)
CC Decision • CC found SLC in the supply of CPM kaolin in the UK: • Imerys and Goonvean were competitors, and the merged business would have high UK market shares • Competition from Sibelco and overseas suppliers was limited due to their limited processing capabilities and/or transport costs • the merged business would be able to increase prices or withdraw grades • SLC related to <5 per cent of the parties’ combined production • CC found that full divestment of Goonvean would be effective • Risks could be addressed by an up-front buyer requirement, rapid sale process, inclusion of additional assets and exclusion of liabilities • Partial divestiture would be ineffective due to integrated production platform (assets used to produce SLC grades could not be separated) • CC found that a price control would also effectively remedy the SLC and selected this remedy • More proportionate to the SLC as full divestiture would remove all merger efficiencies • Even a small loss of efficiency benefits to UK customers of non-SLC grades would outweigh the benefits of full divestiture to SLC grade customers
Goonvean as a failing/flailing firm • Goonvean/Kaolin business had made persistent losses • Inability to pass on cost increases to customers • Declining sales volumes (customers closing or switching to competitors) • Profits on secondary aggregates business insufficient to offset losses • Historic lack of capital investment (patching up and equipment run until failure) • Engineering report showed one plant was in very poor condition and required c. £10m investment to enable safe operation in the short-term • Further sustenance capex of £5m required within 3 years, but no future profit stream to justify investment • Exhaustion of key reserves within 2 years • Geological survey (with core drilling) undertaken • Reserves used for unprofitable tableware kaolin sales with no alternative identified • Reserves also needed to produce high value life science kaolin • Goonvean had started to inform tableware customers that supplies would run out • Goonvean faced other signficant challenges: • Large pension deficit • Difficulty in recruiting senior management (pre-merger management left on completion) • No alternative purchaser could extract material merger synergies
Failing/flailing firm • CC did not find that Goonvean was a failing firm • Counterfactual involved it remaining as an independent producer • Goonvean would have continued to “patch up” and avoid significant capex • Pre-existing competition would have continued other than in tableware • CC accepted Goonvean would exit tableware to conserve key reserve • It was not seeking new customers and would have ceased to supply existing customers in the very near future • Limited pre-merger price competition would have ceased • No SLC found in this market (Provisional Findings reversed)
Efficiencies • Parties claimed the merger would create significant efficiencies • Fixed and variable cost savings by integrating adjacent operations • Improved capacity utilisation • Reduction in overheads and capital expenditure savings • Producing Goonvean’s output using Imerys’ more efficient plants • Increased availability of grades (output enhancement) • Combination of Goonvean’s high quality reserves and Imerys’ sophisticated processing • Ability to mine the boundary between the parties’ adjacent pits • Efficiencies would extend kaolin production in Cornwall for a further 10 years (relative to the counterfactual) • Benefits would accrue to UK customers in a variety of kaolin markets • CC found that efficiencies were not timely, likely and sufficient to prevent an SLC • CC requires merger efficiencies to be “rivalry enhancing” • It was not clear how and against whom rivalry would be enhanced in UK kaolin markets • CC doubted that cost savings would be passed on to customers
Relevant Customer Benefits • CC took efficiencies arguments into account in considering RCBs • Most weight placed on output enhancing efficiencies (continued and increased access to kaolin reserves for a longer period) • CC also considered that the merger might result in significant cost synergies for Imerys • RCBs taken into account when deciding on remedies • RCBs lost due to the implementation of a particular remedy are considered a cost of that remedy • Full divestiture of Goonvean would lead to loss of all RCBs; even a small loss of RCBs could outweigh the benefits of a divestiture in the SLC market • Price control remedy would preserve RCBs and effectively remedy the SLC
Scope of the Undertakings • Grades: • Imerys grades: Speswhite, Polwhite B, Polwhite E, Devolite and Polsperse • Goonvean grades: Crystal Sheen, Opal Alpha, Opal Beta, Opal Gamma, Opal Epsilon and Opal Rho • Grades must conform to product specification sheets • Undertakings do not apply to new grades • Customer: • Existing (not new) UK Customers’ of the grades • Undertakings only apply to their purchases in the UK • Maximum Annual Volume • For each Customer, its highest annual UK purchase volume for each Grade in 2009/10, 2010/11 and 2011/12, plus 10 per cent
Pricing/transition to alternative grades • Ex Works Prices subject to a Price Cap: • Ex-Works Prices cannot be increased in 2014 or 2015 • Ex-Works Prices are capped for 2016, 2017 and 2018 at The Ex-Works Price at 31 December of the previous year + RPI – 0.5% • Delivery costs: • Imerys may not change delivery costs during a calendar year, unless the customer changes its delivery requirements or a Fuel Variance Clause applies • Imerys cannot mark-up third party haulage costs • Customers can switch to ex-works supply at any time • Undertakings include a process for transitioning customers to suitable alternative grades • This may be necessary due to cost, reserve availability considerations • Transition cannot occur until 1 January 2016: Imerys must continue to supply the Initial Grade within each Price Controlled Product in 2014 and 2015 • Where the Customer accepts the alternative grade it must be supplied in accordance with the Undertakings (with the same price cap as the Initial Grade) • Customer can either accept supply of the alternative grade instead of the Initial Grade or initiate a Dispute • An Independent Expert (paid for by Imerys) will determine whether an alternative grade is a suitable alternative to the Initial Grade for the relevant application in which it is used by the Customer • If it is, Imerys can supply the alternative grade. If not, Imerys must continue to supply the Initial Grade but can continue reformulation work
Akzo/Metlac • Merger of metal packaging coatings manufacturers • Azko one of three global producers, Metlac found to be a maverick competitor • SLC found, with increased prices and loss of innovation likely • CC found no efficiencies or relevant customer benefits: • Akzo claimed purchasing, manufacturing, distribution and R&D efficiencies would benefit customers • CC found no incentive for Akzo to pass on cost savings once Metlac had been removed as a competitive constraint • CC required compelling evidence of RCBs, which must arise in the form of lower prices (or better quality, service, choice or innovation) than if the merger did not take place.
Conclusions • CC thresholds for efficiencies and failing firm are high • Efficiencies will not be sufficiently rivalry-enhancing to prevent an SLC • Failing firm analysis is based on a short-term perspective • CC may take a holistic view of the situation in its final decision • Failure of part of a firm (e.g. Goonvean exiting tableware) reducing scope of SLC • Longer-term failure of the firm may influence duration of remedy • Consideration of RCBs in choosing between effective remedies • Need to submit compelling evidence • Imerys/Goonvean – combination of: • witness statements • internal e-mails/documents • engineering reports (initial and commentary on PFs) • geological survey The facts matter; don’t give up!
Competition Law Association Merger efficiencies and the failing firm defence – a change of emphasis? 34030322