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Achieving Committed and Reliable Sales Forecast. Scott Smith OneAccord Partners 206-920-6566 Scott.Smith@OneAccordPartners.com. Introductions… . Your Name / Position Company / Industry What are you hoping to accomplish today? What is your experience with Sales Forecasts?.
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Achieving Committed and Reliable Sales Forecast Scott Smith OneAccord Partners 206-920-6566 Scott.Smith@OneAccordPartners.com
Introductions… • Your Name / Position • Company / Industry • What are you hoping to accomplish today? • What is your experience with Sales Forecasts?
143 Steps to a Perfect Forecast • Train your Sales Team to what you are looking for • Give them documents that need to be filled out perfectly and signed by the customer to certify their authenticity • Send to your CFO & Analytics Department to do variance testing and make sure your sample sizes are correct • On a monthly basis, beat the crap out of your sales rep for any variances of over 1%
Like this Money…. most forecasts are not worth the paper they are written on!
What is the BEST Predictor of Future Performance? Historical Performance!
Example 1: Fred’s Forecast Will you accept Fred’s Forecast?
Example 2: Customer “A” Forecast Will you accept Customer “A” Forecast?
Trust but verify. – Ronald Reagan
Tools: • B2B Rep: Six month average, then adjust forecast with exceptions • Manufacturers to OEM’s: • Calculate customer spend based upon units. • Example: Every exercise machine they build has $100 of our parts on it. How many are they building each day? Validate production schedule with customer build schedule • ELIMINATE inventory from the Channel!!!! • Never trust a forecast from someone who is managing their balance sheet on a quarterly basis • Safety stock is your enemy