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Two-Sample Tests

Two-Sample Tests. Two Sample Tests. Two Sample Tests. Population Means, Independent Samples. Means, Related Samples. Population Proportions. Population Variances. Examples:. Group 1 vs. independent Group 2. Same group before vs. after treatment. Proportion 1 vs. Proportion 2.

william-mason
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Two-Sample Tests

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  1. Two-Sample Tests

  2. Two Sample Tests Two Sample Tests Population Means, Independent Samples Means, Related Samples Population Proportions Population Variances Examples: Group 1 vs. independent Group 2 Same group before vs. after treatment Proportion 1 vs. Proportion 2 Variance 1 vs. Variance 2

  3. Difference Between Two Means Population means, independent samples Goal: Test hypotheses or form a confidence interval for the difference between two population means, μ1 – μ2 * σ1 and σ2 known The point estimate for the difference is σ1 and σ2 unknown X1 – X2

  4. Independent Samples • Different data sources • Unrelated • Independent • Sample selected from one population has no effect on the sample selected from the other population • Use the difference between 2 sample means • Use Z test or pooled variance t test Population means, independent samples * σ1 and σ2 known σ1 and σ2 unknown

  5. Difference Between Two Means Population means, independent samples * Use a Z test statistic σ1 and σ2 known Use S to estimate unknown σ , use a t test statistic and pooled standard deviation σ1 and σ2 unknown

  6. σ1 and σ2 Known Population means, independent samples • Assumptions: • Samples are randomly and independently drawn • population distributions are normal or both sample sizes are  30 • Population standard deviations are known * σ1 and σ2 known σ1 and σ2 unknown

  7. σ1 and σ2 Known (continued) When σ1 and σ2 are known and both populations are normal or both sample sizes are at least 30, the test statistic is a Z-value… Population means, independent samples * σ1 and σ2 known …and the standard error of X1 – X2 is σ1 and σ2 unknown

  8. σ1 and σ2 Known (continued) Population means, independent samples The test statistic for μ1 – μ2 is: * σ1 and σ2 known σ1 and σ2 unknown

  9. Hypothesis Tests forTwo Population Means Two Population Means, Independent Samples Lower-tail test: H0: μ1μ2 H1: μ1 < μ2 i.e., H0: μ1 – μ2 0 H1: μ1 – μ2< 0 Upper-tail test: H0: μ1≤μ2 H1: μ1>μ2 i.e., H0: μ1 – μ2≤ 0 H1: μ1 – μ2> 0 Two-tail test: H0: μ1 = μ2 H1: μ1≠μ2 i.e., H0: μ1 – μ2= 0 H1: μ1 – μ2≠ 0

  10. Hypothesis tests for μ1 – μ2 Two Population Means, Independent Samples Lower-tail test: H0: μ1 – μ2 0 H1: μ1 – μ2< 0 Upper-tail test: H0: μ1 – μ2≤ 0 H1: μ1 – μ2> 0 Two-tail test: H0: μ1 – μ2= 0 H1: μ1 – μ2≠ 0 a a a/2 a/2 -za za -za/2 za/2 Reject H0 if Z < -Za Reject H0 if Z > Za Reject H0 if Z < -Za/2 or Z > Za/2

  11. Confidence Interval, σ1 and σ2 Known Population means, independent samples The confidence interval for μ1 – μ2 is: * σ1 and σ2 known σ1 and σ2 unknown

  12. σ1 and σ2 Unknown • Assumptions: • Samples are randomly and independently drawn • Populations are normally distributed or both sample sizes are at least 30 • Population variances are unknown but assumed equal Population means, independent samples σ1 and σ2 known * σ1 and σ2 unknown

  13. σ1 and σ2 Unknown (continued) • Forming interval estimates: • The population variances are assumed equal, so use the two sample standard deviations and pool them to estimate σ • the test statistic is a t value with (n1 + n2 – 2) degrees of freedom Population means, independent samples σ1 and σ2 known * σ1 and σ2 unknown

  14. σ1 and σ2 Unknown (continued) Population means, independent samples The pooled standard deviation is σ1 and σ2 known * σ1 and σ2 unknown

  15. σ1 and σ2 Unknown (continued) The test statistic for μ1 – μ2 is: Population means, independent samples σ1 and σ2 known * σ1 and σ2 unknown Where t has (n1 + n2 – 2) d.f., and

  16. Confidence Interval, σ1 and σ2 Unknown Population means, independent samples The confidence interval for μ1 – μ2 is: σ1 and σ2 known * σ1 and σ2 unknown Where

  17. You are a financial analyst for a brokerage firm. Is there a difference in dividend yield between stocks listed on the NYSE & NASDAQ? You collect the following data: NYSENASDAQNumber 21 25 Sample mean 3.27 2.53 Sample std dev 1.30 1.16 Pooled Sp t Test: Example Assuming both populations are approximately normal with equal variances, isthere a difference in average yield ( = 0.05)?

  18. Calculating the Test Statistic The test statistic is:

  19. H0: μ1 - μ2 = 0 i.e. (μ1 = μ2) H1: μ1 - μ2≠ 0 i.e. (μ1 ≠μ2)  = 0.05 df = 21 + 25 - 2 = 44 Critical Values: t = ± 2.0154 Test Statistic: Solution Reject H0 Reject H0 .025 .025 t 0 -2.0154 2.0154 2.040 Decision: Conclusion: Reject H0 at a = 0.05 There is evidence of a difference in means.

  20. Related Samples Tests Means of 2 Related Populations • Paired or matched samples • Repeated measures (before/after) • Use difference between paired values: • Eliminates Variation Among Subjects • Assumptions: • Both Populations Are Normally Distributed • Or, if Not Normal, use large samples Related samples • D = X1 - X2

  21. Mean Difference, σD Known The ith paired difference is Di , where Related samples • Di = X1i - X2i The point estimate for the population mean paired difference is D : Suppose the population standard deviation of the difference scores, σD, is known n is the number of pairs in the paired sample

  22. Mean Difference, σD Known (continued) The test statistic for the mean difference is a Z value: Paired samples Where μD = hypothesized mean difference σD = population standard dev. of differences n = the sample size (number of pairs)

  23. Confidence Interval, σD Known The confidence interval for D is Paired samples Where n = the sample size (number of pairs in the paired sample)

  24. Mean Difference, σD Unknown If σD is unknown, we can estimate the unknown population standard deviation with a sample standard deviation: Related samples The sample standard deviation is

  25. Mean Difference, σD Unknown (continued) The test statistic for D is now a t statistic, with n-1 d.f.: Paired samples Where t has n - 1 d.f. and SD is:

  26. Confidence Interval, σD Unknown The confidence interval for D is Paired samples where

  27. Hypothesis Testing for Mean Difference, σD Unknown Paired Samples Lower-tail test: H0: μD 0 H1: μD < 0 Upper-tail test: H0: μD≤ 0 H1: μD> 0 Two-tail test: H0: μD = 0 H1: μD≠ 0 a a a/2 a/2 -ta ta -ta/2 ta/2 Reject H0 if t < -ta Reject H0 if t > ta Reject H0 if t < -ta/2 or t > ta/2 Where t has n - 1 d.f.

  28. Paired Samples Example • Assume you send your salespeople to a “customer service” training workshop. Is the training effective? You collect the following data:  Number of Complaints:(2) - (1) SalespersonBefore (1)After (2)Difference,Di C.B. 64 - 2 T.F. 206 -14 M.H. 32 - 1 R.K. 00 0 M.O. 40- 4 -21 Di D = n = -4.2

  29. Paired Samples: Solution • Has the training made a difference in the number of complaints (at the 0.01 level)? Reject Reject H0: μD = 0 H1: μD 0 /2 /2  = .01 D = - 4.2 - 4.604 4.604 - 1.66 Critical Value = ± 4.604d.f. = n - 1 = 4 Decision:Do not reject H0 (t stat is not in the reject region) Test Statistic: Conclusion:There is not a significant change in the number of complaints.

  30. Two Population Proportions Goal: test a hypothesis or form a confidence interval for the difference between two population proportions, p1 – p2 Population proportions Assumptions: n1p1 5 , n1(1-p1)  5 n2p2 5 , n2(1-p2)  5 The point estimate for the difference is

  31. Two Population Proportions Since we begin by assuming the null hypothesis is true, we assume p1 = p2 and pool the two ps estimates Population proportions The pooled estimate for the overall proportion is: where X1 and X2 are the numbers from samples 1 and 2 with the characteristic of interest

  32. Two Population Proportions (continued) The test statistic for p1 – p2 is a Z statistic: Population proportions where

  33. Confidence Interval forTwo Population Proportions Population proportions The confidence interval for p1 – p2 is:

  34. Hypothesis Tests forTwo Population Proportions Population proportions Lower-tail test: H0: p1p2 H1: p1 < p2 i.e., H0: p1 – p2 0 H1: p1 – p2< 0 Upper-tail test: H0: p1≤ p2 H1: p1> p2 i.e., H0: p1 – p2≤ 0 H1: p1 – p2> 0 Two-tail test: H0: p1 = p2 H1: p1≠ p2 i.e., H0: p1 – p2= 0 H1: p1 – p2≠ 0

  35. Hypothesis Tests forTwo Population Proportions (continued) Population proportions Lower-tail test: H0: p1 – p2 0 H1: p1 – p2< 0 Upper-tail test: H0: p1 – p2≤ 0 H1: p1 – p2> 0 Two-tail test: H0: p1 – p2= 0 H1: p1 – p2≠ 0 a a a/2 a/2 -za za -za/2 za/2 Reject H0 if Z < -Za Reject H0 if Z > Za Reject H0 if Z < -Za/2 or Z > Za/2

  36. Example: Two population Proportions Is there a significant difference between the proportion of men and the proportion of women who will vote Yes on Proposition A? • In a random sample, 36 of 72 men and 31 of 50 women indicated they would vote Yes • Test at the .05 level of significance

  37. Example: Two population Proportions (continued) • The hypothesis test is: H0: p1 – p2= 0 (the two proportions are equal) H1: p1 – p2≠ 0 (there is a significant difference between proportions) • The sample proportions are: • Men: ps1 = 36/72 = .50 • Women: ps2 = 31/50 = .62 • The pooled estimate for the overall proportion is:

  38. Example: Two population Proportions (continued) Reject H0 Reject H0 The test statistic for p1 – p2 is: .025 .025 -1.96 1.96 -1.31 Decision:Do not reject H0 Conclusion:There is not significant evidence of a difference in proportions who will vote yes between men and women. Critical Values = ±1.96 For  = .05

  39. Hypothesis Tests for Variances * Tests for Two Population Variances H0: σ12 = σ22 H1: σ12 ≠ σ22 Two-tail test F test statistic H0: σ12σ22 H1: σ12 < σ22 Lower-tail test H0: σ12 ≤ σ22 H1: σ12 > σ22 Upper-tail test

  40. Hypothesis Tests for Variances (continued) Tests for Two Population Variances The F test statistic is: * F test statistic = Variance of Sample 1 n1 - 1 = numerator degrees of freedom = Variance of Sample 2 n2 - 1 = denominator degrees of freedom

  41. The F Distribution • The F critical valueis found from the F table • The are two appropriate degrees of freedom: numerator and denominator • In the F table, • numerator degrees of freedom determine the column • denominator degrees of freedom determine the row where df1 = n1 – 1 ; df2 = n2 – 1

  42. Finding the Rejection Region H0: σ12σ22 H1: σ12 < σ22 H0: σ12 = σ22 H1: σ12 ≠ σ22  /2 0 F /2 FL Do not reject H0 Reject H0 0 F Reject H0 if F < FL FL FU Reject H0 Do not reject H0 Reject H0 H0: σ12 ≤ σ22 H1: σ12 > σ22 • rejection region for a two-tail test is:  0 F FU Do not reject H0 Reject H0 Reject H0 if F > FU

  43. Finding the Rejection Region (continued) H0: σ12 = σ22 H1: σ12 ≠ σ22 /2 /2 0 F FL FU Reject H0 Do not reject H0 Reject H0 To find the critical F values: 1. Find FU from the F table for n1 – 1 numerator and n2 – 1 denominator degrees of freedom 2. Find FL using the formula: Where FU* is from the F table with n2 – 1 numerator and n1 – 1 denominator degrees of freedom (i.e., switch the d.f. from FU)

  44. You are a financial analyst for a brokerage firm. You want to compare dividend yields between stocks listed on the NYSE & NASDAQ. You collect the following data: NYSENASDAQNumber 21 25 Mean 3.27 2.53 Std dev 1.30 1.16 Is there a difference in the variances between the NYSE & NASDAQ at the =0.05 level? F Test: An Example

  45. F Test: Example Solution • Form the hypothesis test: H0: σ21 – σ22 = 0 (there is no difference between variances) H1: σ21 – σ22 ≠ 0 (there is a difference between variances) • Find the F critical values for  = .05: • Numerator: • n1 – 1 = 21 – 1 = 20 d.f. • Denominator: • n2 – 1 = 25 – 1 = 24 d.f. FU = F.025, 20, 24 = 2.33 • Numerator: • n2 – 1 = 25 – 1 = 24 d.f. • Denominator: • n1 – 1 = 21 – 1 = 20 d.f. FL = 1/F.025, 24, 20 = 1/2.41 = .41 FU: FL:

  46. F Test: Example Solution (continued) H0: σ12 = σ22 H1: σ12≠σ22 • The test statistic is: /2 = .025 /2 = .025 0 F Reject H0 Do not reject H0 Reject H0 FU=2.33 • F = 1.256 is not in the rejection region, so we do not reject H0 FL=0.41 • Conclusion: There is not sufficient evidence of a difference in variances at  = .05

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