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This study examines China's future role in the trade of forest products in the Pacific Rim. It analyzes the current status of timber resources, trade of wood and paper products, and the future supply-demand balance. The study predicts that China's strong economic growth and increased per capita consumption will make it the principal conifer import market in the region.
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China’s Future Role in the Pacific Rim Trade of Forest ProductsForest Resources Association, May 2002Port Angeles, Washington Håkan Ekström Wood Resources International Ltd.
The Current Status of Timber Resources Use of Industrial Roundwood Current Trade of Wood and Paper Products Future S/D Balance and Implications on Trade
Est. 128 million ha of “forested” land Est. 88 million ha of industrial timber Est. 35 million ha of plantation forests Est. 6 million ha of S/M plantations Status of the Timber Resources
Probable Timber Supply by Forest Type in 1998 Source: Pacific Rim Trade Outlook Study, WRI Ltd.
Industrial Roundwood Consumption in 1998 Source: Pacific Rim Trade Outlook Study, WRI Ltd.
Wood Fiber Consumption by the Pulp Industry Source: Pacific Rim Trade Outlook Study, WRI Ltd.
Est. Probable Supply/ Demand Balance in 1998 Source: Pacific Rim Trade Outlook Study, WRI Ltd.
Log Imports to China 1990-2001 Source: FAS and ChinaWood
Softwood Lumber Imports to China 1997-2001 Source: FAS and ChinaWood
Pulp & Paper Imports to China 1990-2000 Source: APP & PPI
Changes in Probable Timber Supply 1998-2010 Non-Conifer Conifer Source: Pacific Rim Trade Outlook Study, WRI Ltd.
Forecast of Paper & Paperboard Consumption Source: Pacific Rim Trade Outlook Study, WRI Ltd.
Industrial Roundwood Demand by Product Area Source: Pacific Rim Trade Outlook Study, WRI Ltd.
Change in Forest Product Net Trade in 2010 Source: Pacific Rim Trade Outlook Study, WRI Ltd.
Strong economic growth and increased per capita consumption of forest products. Reduced harvests from native forests. Conclusions There will be: These two factors will cause China to emerge as the principal conifer import market in the Pacific Rim.