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Economic Analysis. MGM626-0801A-02 2.P1P Mark Carlson. Introduction. Economic indicators Application of indicators Current and new markets analyzed. Why are these factors important for the expansion?. U.S. - Trend Analysis. Economic Indicators Recent past Current values
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Economic Analysis MGM626-0801A-02 2.P1PMark Carlson
Introduction • Economic indicators • Application of indicators • Current and new markets analyzed
Why are these factors important for the expansion? U.S. - Trend Analysis • Economic Indicators • Recent past • Current values • Projected Outlook • Analysis
Political Risks • Terrorist activity • Economic policy
Why are these factors important for the expansion? Brazil - Trend Analysis • Economic Indicators • Recent past • Current values • Projected Outlook • Analysis
Political Risks • The Brazil cost • Violence • Corruption
Why are these factors important for the expansion? Germany - Trend Analysis • Economic Indicators • Recent past • Current values • Projected Outlook • Analysis
Political Risks • Organized crime • Import policies
Why are these factors important for the expansion? Japan - Trend Analysis • Economic Indicators • Recent past • Current values • Projected Outlook • Analysis
Political Risks U.S. view of exporting businesses
Comparison • GDP real growth rate • GDP per capita • Unemployment • Inflation rate • Central bank interest rate (not pictured)
Final Analysis • Japan • Little risk, but also little economy momentum • U.S. • Stability and accessibility • Germany • Potential political issues, but stable economy • Brazil • Political issues, but high economic momentum
References Brasileiro, A. (2008). Brazil won’t reduce interest rates this year, Goldman says. Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&sid=ahvYVWx3RqnI Cenimar. (2008). World trends, projections and predictions. January 16, 2008 from http://www.cenimar.com/factbook/trend_list.jsp Dailyfx. (2007). Central Bank Watch. Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www.dailyfx.com/page/central_bank_interest_rate.html Dailyfx. (2007). EUR/USD 2008 outlook. Retrieved January 16, 2008 from http://www.dailyfx.com/story/currency/eur_fundamentals/EUR_USD_2008_Outlook_1199118568338.html DW-World.DE. (2007). Expert says mafia murders pose new risks in Germany. Retrieved January 16, 2008 from http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,2144,2741538,00.html Ernest & Young. (2006). Industry leaders discussed emerging markets. Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www.ey.com/global/content.nsf/WebPrint/AFAC984FA3ED039B8525729F0057E9E6?openDocument&
References Continued Global Issues. (2006). WTO Doha “Development” Trade Round Collapse, 2006. Retrieved January 16, 2008 from http://www.globalissues.org/TradeRelated/FreeTrade/dohacollapse.asp Peterson Institute. (2007). Global economic prospects 2007/2008: Moderately slower growth and greater uncertainty. Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www.iie.com/publications/papers/print.cfm?doc=pub&ResearchID=815 Towers Perrin. (2007) Global high tech compensatin planning report. Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www.towersperrin.com/tp/getwebcachedoc?webc=HRS/USA/2007/200711/2007_Global_High_Tech_Compensation_Planning_Report_nl.pdf U.S. Departmetn of State. (2007). Background note: Brazil. Retrieved January 15, 2008 from http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/35640.htm