170 likes | 280 Views
Oceans and anthropogenic CO 2. By Monika Kopacz EPS 131. (Atmospheric) sources of anthropogenic CO 2. Fossil fuels (oil, gas, coal) Biomass burning (deforestation and others) Farming Land-use conversion Production of cement Total about 7 Pg (10 15 g) per year.
E N D
Oceans and anthropogenic CO2 By Monika Kopacz EPS 131
(Atmospheric) sources of anthropogenic CO2 • Fossil fuels (oil, gas, coal) • Biomass burning (deforestation and others) • Farming • Land-use conversion • Production of cement Total about 7 Pg (1015 g) per year
Atmospheric concentration Figure adapted from Whitehouse Initiative on Global Climate Change
What do we want to learn? • Anthropogenic CO2 presence in the oceans: sources, sinks, fluxes • Changes that have occurred so far, are occurring right now and are anticipated in the future • Should we be concerned or will Mother Nature heal itself?
Box model of CO2 fluxes * Right now: not in steady state
CO2 air-sea fluxes • Trends: • Equatorial Pacific: strong source of CO2 throughout the year • Subtropical oceans: upwelling and uptake depend on water temperature • High-latitude oceans: mostly deep water upwelling in the winter and biological uptake during spring and summer • Dependencies: Along with pressure differences, fluxes depend on gas transfer velocity (derived from other tracers), solubility (function of temperature and salinity)
Facts about CO2 uptake • CO2 is more than twice soluble in cold water than in warm water • Marine phytoplankton transforms CO2 to organic carbon (Vertical gradient of dissolved inorganic carbon: 20% due to solubility pump, 80% due to biological pump)
Calculating CO2 uptake • Using oceanic tracers such as carbon-14, tritium and chlorofluorocarbons (CFC’s) to: • directly measure fluxes into ocean and circulation within • simulate CO2 uptake and distribution with a model (based on previously measured quantities)
Separating anthropogenic CO2 from natural From: Gruber, N., 1998: “Anthropogenic CO2 in the Atlantic Ocean.” Global Biogeochem. Cycles
Anthro- pogenic CO2 distribution Gruber, N., 1998: “Anthropogenic CO2 in the Atlantic Ocean.” Global Biogeochem. Cycles And “Global CO2 survey”
Ocean as a sink for CO2: Solution to global warming? Limitations to ocean CO2 uptake: limited buffering capability
Climate implications • Increased level of CO2 in surface water 30% decrease in carbonate ion by mid-century reduction of coral reef * • More anthropogenic co2 Global warming warming of the oceans Slower circulation another ice age * "Effect of calcium carbonate saturation state on the calcification rate of an experimental coral reef“ by Takahashi
Ideas for restoring steady state • Sequestration • Collecting industrial CO2 and depositing it in deep ocean (>1000m), much like it is already being deposited in the earth
Conclusions: • Ocean carbon cycle is currently not in steady state • Future climate change • Most realistic solution: decrease pollution