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Oceans and anthropogenic CO 2

Oceans and anthropogenic CO 2. By Monika Kopacz EPS 131. (Atmospheric) sources of anthropogenic CO 2. Fossil fuels (oil, gas, coal) Biomass burning (deforestation and others) Farming Land-use conversion Production of cement Total about 7 Pg (10 15 g) per year.

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Oceans and anthropogenic CO 2

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  1. Oceans and anthropogenic CO2 By Monika Kopacz EPS 131

  2. (Atmospheric) sources of anthropogenic CO2 • Fossil fuels (oil, gas, coal) • Biomass burning (deforestation and others) • Farming • Land-use conversion • Production of cement Total about 7 Pg (1015 g) per year

  3. Atmospheric concentration Figure adapted from Whitehouse Initiative on Global Climate Change

  4. What do we want to learn? • Anthropogenic CO2 presence in the oceans: sources, sinks, fluxes • Changes that have occurred so far, are occurring right now and are anticipated in the future • Should we be concerned or will Mother Nature heal itself?

  5. Box model of CO2 fluxes * Right now: not in steady state

  6. Figure adapted from Feely et al., 2001

  7. CO2 air-sea fluxes • Trends: • Equatorial Pacific: strong source of CO2 throughout the year • Subtropical oceans: upwelling and uptake depend on water temperature • High-latitude oceans: mostly deep water upwelling in the winter and biological uptake during spring and summer • Dependencies: Along with pressure differences, fluxes depend on gas transfer velocity (derived from other tracers), solubility (function of temperature and salinity)

  8. Facts about CO2 uptake • CO2 is more than twice soluble in cold water than in warm water • Marine phytoplankton transforms CO2 to organic carbon (Vertical gradient of dissolved inorganic carbon: 20% due to solubility pump, 80% due to biological pump)

  9. Calculating CO2 uptake • Using oceanic tracers such as carbon-14, tritium and chlorofluorocarbons (CFC’s) to: • directly measure fluxes into ocean and circulation within • simulate CO2 uptake and distribution with a model (based on previously measured quantities)

  10. Separating anthropogenic CO2 from natural From: Gruber, N., 1998: “Anthropogenic CO2 in the Atlantic Ocean.” Global Biogeochem. Cycles

  11. Separating anthropogenic CO2 from natural (contd.)

  12. Anthro- pogenic CO2 distribution Gruber, N., 1998: “Anthropogenic CO2 in the Atlantic Ocean.” Global Biogeochem. Cycles And “Global CO2 survey”

  13. Ocean as a sink for CO2: Solution to global warming?

  14. Ocean as a sink for CO2: Solution to global warming? Limitations to ocean CO2 uptake: limited buffering capability 

  15. Climate implications • Increased level of CO2 in surface water  30% decrease in carbonate ion by mid-century  reduction of coral reef * • More anthropogenic co2  Global warming  warming of the oceans  Slower circulation  another ice age * "Effect of calcium carbonate saturation state on the calcification rate of an experimental coral reef“ by Takahashi

  16. Ideas for restoring steady state • Sequestration • Collecting industrial CO2 and depositing it in deep ocean (>1000m), much like it is already being deposited in the earth

  17. Conclusions: • Ocean carbon cycle is currently not in steady state • Future climate change • Most realistic solution: decrease pollution

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