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MP-SOFI-SD Project

WorldFuture 2003 – the Annual Conference of the World Future Society San Francisco, CA, USA. (July 19, 2003). Futures Research Around the World - Part 1. MP-SOFI-SD Project. A Full-Scale Implementation of SOFI. AC/UNU Millennium Project, Silicon Valley Node

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MP-SOFI-SD Project

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  1. WorldFuture 2003 – the Annual Conference of the World Future Society San Francisco, CA, USA. (July 19, 2003) Futures Research Around the World - Part 1 MP-SOFI-SD Project A Full-Scale Implementation of SOFI AC/UNU Millennium Project, Silicon Valley Node Peter P. Yim <peter.yim@cim3.com> (v 3.01)

  2. Outline • The Mission • MP-SOFI-SD Project Phases • Core Concepts and Values • A Look at the System • Who are the users • What can one do with it • Looking at the Big Picture

  3. Mission • To build on the previous research of the Millennium Project, including the spreadsheet model, algorithm and collection of data, and progressively develop it into an Internet based futures study and analysis tool supported over an open knowledge system.

  4. MP-SOFI-SD Project Phases • Phase 0: Strategizing, planning, staging & requirements gathering. • Phase 1: Initial software tool implementation and the launch of a community of practice around SOFI. • Subsequent Phases: Continuous development and improvement of the SOFI system, content and knowledge through the collaboration of open communities that are augmented by the Internet and other technologies.

  5. Core Concepts & Valuesdriving this work • The SOFI Methodology • The "Bootstrap" Paradigm • Serving a wide variety of applications • Collaboration among participants and stakeholders in the form of virtual communities • The notion of "Openness"

  6. The System (1/3) – Design Criteria • Interoperability • Openness • Standards Compliance • Enterprise-class Robustness • Scalability • Reliability • Security

  7. Architecture

  8. The User Interface

  9. The Users (1) – SOFI Developers • Global, national, regional, NGO and corporate policymakers • Professionals, scholars, academics • Economists, political scientists, social scientists, etc., and • The Millennium Project and its Nodes

  10. The Classes of Users (2) • General public • Researchers, journalists, trend watchers • Policy makers (government, NGO, corporate, …) • SOFI developers, modelers, futures researchers • Data owners (those who own and maintain databases whose data is used to construct the SOFIs) • System developers (those who will contribute to the software) • System Administrators (those who administer the SOFI system)

  11. What can we do on the System? • Viewing/reading up • Comparisons • Drill-downs and searches on related information • Asking what-if questions by “tweaking” the SOFI parameters, or exercising alternate Scenarios • Developing new SOFI's • SOFI’s for different Countries, Regions, Municipalities, … etc. (e.g. a USA-SOFI, France-SOFI, Russia-SOFI, China-SOFI; or a EU-SOFI, Middle-East SOFI, Greater-China SOFI, Latin-America SOFI; … etc.) • SOFIs for different government or industrial sectors (e.g. E-Government SOFI; Petroleum and Oil industry SOFI; Automotive Industry SOFI; Aerospace industry SOFI; Science & Technology SOFI; Nanotechnology SOFI; Tertiary Education SOFI; … etc.) • SOFI for Corporations; individual Organizations; Programs, Initiatives or Product Lines; …etc. • Collaboration and Collaborative Development • Interaction and accessing data, information and knowledge • Human-to-machine • Human-to-human • Machine-to-machine • Building up the system’s database and knowledgebase

  12. The Big Picture (1) • this was not simply a software to calculate an index, • but a framework for people to systematically think together • about what is important to the future, • how to measure it, • what is the best bang for the buck to get the whole index up, • alternatives to the approaches systematically vetted, • generation of an improvement community to make better SOFIs, • method to keep all this organized, • allowing for group and private use, • on the web and stand alone, … etc.

  13. The Big Picture (2) • it's not just software, but rather, it is about the co-evolution of tool systems and human systems • this is not even about technology, but about how people can handle change and ever increasing complexities in the world we live in – improving our ability to systematically measure, analyze, manage, be ready, be responsiveness, and • be able to make informed decisions and cope with the ever more urgent and complex “challenges” • We are creating the environment for distributed collaborative development and innovation • We have building an infrastructure to harness collective intelligence • expecting emergent patterns and behaviors

  14. References • The Chapters (Ch. 22 & Ch. 23) on SOFI and its Full Implementation on “Futures Research Methodology v2.0” • Copy of this presentation is available at: http://mp.cim3.net/file/project/mp-sofi-sd/presentation/mp-sofi-sd-P3.htm • [MP-SOFI-SD] Project Documents are accessible from: http://mp.cim3.net/file/project/mp-sofi-sd/home.html

  15. Q & A and Discussion

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