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Opening Addresses. US-Japan Workshop on Fusion Power Plants and Related Advanced Technologies with participation of EU January 11-13, 2005 at Tokyo, JAPAN. Jan. 11 M. Kikuchi, JAERI. US-Japan Reactor workshop is a long-standing activity (From my memory).
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Opening Addresses US-Japan Workshop on Fusion Power Plants and Related Advanced Technologies with participation of EU January 11-13, 2005 at Tokyo, JAPAN Jan. 11 M. Kikuchi, JAERI
US-Japan Reactor workshop is a long-standing activity (From my memory) 1st 1989(JAERI,May29-39):ARIES-I, SSTR, --- 2nd 1990(UCLA,Oct.15-17):ARIES-I, SSTR, CFAR 3rd 1992(JAERI,Mar.9-11): ARIES-II/IV,SSTR-2, ST(TARTRs) 4th 1993(UCLA,Sep.17) : in conjunction with IAEA-TCM 5th 1995(Kyoto U.,Mar.13-16): STARLITE,SEAFP, FFHR, Pulsar, IDLT ?th 1999(Kyoto U.,Mar.24-26): CREST, ARIES-ST, DREAM,FFHR ?th 2000(UCSD,Mar.16-17): ARIES-AT, A-SSTR2,FFHR,CREST,ESE ?th 2001(U. Tokyo,ARIES-AT, A-SSTR2,CREST,FFHR,ESE ?th 2002(UCSD,Apr.6-7): FFHR, Laser, ESE ?th 2003(UCSD,Oct.9-11): ARIES-IFE, ARIES-CH,FFHR, ESE ?th 2005(JAERI/UT,Jan.11-13): FFHR, ARIES-CH, VECTOR - 1 -
Other Frameworks [1] IEA framework : International Energy Agency Cooperative Agreement on Environmental, Safety, and Economic Aspects of Fusion Power [2] IAEA framework : IAEA technical meeting on 1st generation of fusion power plants Note : IEA FPCC recommends coordination among various frameworks - 2 -
FY 2005 2020 2015 2010 2035 2030 2025 Performance extension phase Basic performance phase Decomissioning Construction ITER program Test of breeding blanket Satelite Tokamaks And other devices JT-60 and JET Achieve Q=20, 400s Achieve Q~5 steady-state operation Proof of principle of breeding blanket Fusion technology development Development of breeding blanket Fusion material development (inc. IFMIF) Confirm physics database DEMO physics input for starting EDA Confirm material database Concept exploration DEMO CDA-like EDA/R&D construction power production Coordination of DEMO physics and tech. R&D Grid connection Decision of construction licencing Roadmap to Fusion DEMO JA,US,EU road map is similar targeting power production early 2030 - 3 -
40 30 20 10 0 Fusion COE (cent/kWh) Fossil Solar 2000 2010 2030 2050 2070 2100 25,000 Primary Energy Consumption 21.4Gton Result Prospect [Mtoe] 20,000 Renewable 16.5Gton (Hydrogen) From Dr. Itoh of nihon energy keizai kennkyuusho 15,000 Renewable Hydro Fusion (Hydrogen) Gas Fission 10,000 Fusion Non-conventional gas Oil 5,000 Non-conventional oil Coal 0 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100 DEMO requirement Fusion must be economically competitive to enter energy market Prediction of world energy prospect for a case with Assumptions ; Improving rate of energy efficiency ; -1.3%/year (E/GDP) Cost of large scale solar power (2030 to 2100) ; electricity 5 to 2 cent/kWh, hydrogen 33 to 22$/barrel Cost of fusion power (2030 to 2100) ; electricity 30to 3 cent/kWh, hydrogen 110 to 19$/barrel - 4 -
A=4 4. Comparison with Fission Core - 5 -
Remarks 1. Significant progress has been made in these 15 year on fusion reactor design interacting with experiments. 2. Next 15 years are critically important to identify DEMO to be constructed after ITER. 3. I hope successful workshop! - 6 -