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Photovoltaics : A TECHNOLOGY FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW

Photovoltaics : A TECHNOLOGY FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW. Reinhold Buttgereit Secretary General. Copenhagen , EWEA 2012. EWEA 2012. Average share of PV in electricity generation. 2 %. Average. 4 %. Peak power. Evolution of new capacities in EU (2010).

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Photovoltaics : A TECHNOLOGY FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW

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  1. Photovoltaics: A TECHNOLOGY FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW Reinhold Buttgereit Secretary General Copenhagen, EWEA 2012 EWEA 2012

  2. Averageshare of PV in electricitygeneration 2 % Average 4 % Peak power

  3. Evolution of new capacities in EU (2010)

  4. Evolution of new capacities in EU (2011) Source: EPIA / EWEA

  5. Electricity production from 2011 installations Lost production New production (RES in Green) PV electricityrepresented in 2011 around 30% of electricityfrom new production sources. Source: EPIA analysis

  6. Evolution of cumulative PV capacity in Europe 51.3 GW RoEcontains all marketswithlessthan 1 GW installed. France and BelgiumleftRoE in 2011.

  7. Scenarios for PV electricity in Europe Extrapolation of EPIA marketforecastscompared to EPIA scenarios for 2020. 8 % 4 % 2.6 %

  8. LevelisedCost of PV Electricity 5 countries in Europe, 2011 Prices, 4 market segments: residential rooftop (3 kW), commercial rooftop (100 kW), industrial rooftop (500 kW), utility-scale ground-mounted (2.5 MW) European PV LCOE range projection 2010-2020 • LCOE in Europe: • 0,12 EUR • Italy, groundmounted • 0,26 EUR • UK, residential - 50 % Lowest LCOE in 2012: 0,12 Eur / kWh (Groundmounted – Italy) PV’s generation cost could go down by 50% duringthisdecade

  9. DynamicGridParity in rooftop PV systems Based on the average irradiance per country.

  10. Gridandelectricitymarkets Storage and Demandresponse New electricitymarket organisation Financing of gridoperators PV impacts first and especially the distribution grids, thenonly the transmission grids GridIntegration

  11. Long term PV development EU: 10-13 % in 2030 (RES: 55-69%) EU: 27,5 % in 2050 (RES: 100%) World: 20 % in 2060

  12. Conclusion PV isdevelopingeverywhere, fasterthanexpected Priceswill continue to go down on the mid and long term Grid and electricitymarketintegrationbecomes a priority We don’t want caps, and we need support schemes until competitiveness with conventional energies is achieved. Weneedpolicy support anyway, especiallypriorityaccess Current challenges: marketadjustment, global competitionand the effects of the European financialcrisis.

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