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Economic Synergies Between Bangladesh and North East India. Dr. Atiur Rahman Professor, Department of Development Studies, University of Dhaka & Chairman, Shamunnay E-mail: atiur@sdnbd.org. 13 March 2009 Guwahati, India. North East India (NEI).
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Economic Synergies Between Bangladesh and North East India Dr. Atiur Rahman Professor, Department of Development Studies, University of Dhaka & Chairman, Shamunnay E-mail: atiur@sdnbd.org 13 March 2009 Guwahati, India
North East India (NEI) NEI is not only the next door neighbor of BD but also shares a close relationship emanating from: Cultural Emotional and Historical heritage. This region is landlocked and distantly connected with the rest of India only through a narrow Siliguri corridor of 22 km stretch. BD is at the bridgehead point of SAARC and ASEAN.
Key Concerns Connectivity – the key concern. Good prospects for Indian entrepreneurs to invest in Bangladesh NEI does not have any seaport. In fact, all the state capitals are at a distance varying from 1080 km to 1680 km from Kolkata. NEI states have low production base for both manufacturing and agricultural goods. Tourism has a greater potentiality between Bangladesh and NEI states
Border Area of BD and NEI • 1880 km long border is shared with four NEI States namely : • Assam • Meghalaya • Tripura and • Mizoram • Out of total international border of NEI nearly 37% is with Bangladesh. • .
Transportation Cost: • Trucking charge (per Kg ): • From Kolkata to Guwahati is Rs 3.00 and • It takes 7-8 days time for transportation. • Per Kg transport charges from different LCS (Local Custom Station) along BD border to Guwahati are – • Sherpur: Rs 0.60 • Tamabil: Rs-0.70 • Agartala: Rs-1.25 • Burimari: Rs-1.0.
Export – Import Situation • Based on a hypothetical calculation the potential size of the export market in NEI may be at around US$700 million. • But in reality the contribution of trade between BD and NEI is meager compared to its potential as the above table showed. • And over the years a clear downward trend of the exported items is also noticeable.
Export – Import situation • Though the number of traded goods between BD and NEI is increasing, the volume and value are still much below the potential trade opportunities. • Almost 12 years ago the highest amount of import was recorded and after that the imported value has been showing a downward movement. • The export from Bangladesh to NEI has never surpassed 10 percentage points of its import from the same region.
Export – Import Gap • As with India, trade with NEI is not at all balanced. • In 1997-98 there was the highest trade gap. And the trade gap has been increasing in recent years.
Informal Trade • Total unofficial trade between BD and India is more than $2000 million per annum • More than 1/3 (over $800 million) of it takes place between BD and NEI. • Informal trade is many times higher than that through formal channel. • This unofficial trade must be bridled in order to boost formal trade and woo investment. Source: Bayes, 2002
Product Concentration Import Items from NEI to BD • Primary goods (minerals and Agricultural products) constitute more than 80% of our total import from NEI . • Coal is at the top of the list.
Product Base • Export from BD to NEI Comprises: • Agricultural commodities • Food Products • Textiles • Cosmetics • Toiletries • Simple Engineering Goods • Jute Products • Imported from NEI to BD Comprises: • Basically Primary Products • -- Minerals and • -- Agricultural Products
Product Base • Informally exported to NEI: • Mymensingh: Wood and Vegetable oil • Sylhet:Hilsha and Dry fish, Winter cloths, Juice, Biscuits, Medicine, Soap, Vegetable oil, Pulses, Fuel, RMG, and Tea • Comilla: Hilsha/ Small/ Dry fish, Garlic, RMG, Mosquito net, Bicycle, Electronics goods, Soyabean oil, Under cloths, Toiletries, Cement, Pluses, Poultry, Feed, Juice, Soap, Battery, Show pieces, Potato, Brass pitcher, Eggs, and Turtle • Khagrachari: Bangla wine and Corrugated tin. • Rangamati: Rice, Garlic, Corrugated tin, Cement, Shallow engine and wooden boats.
Barriers to bilateral trade • Inadequate infrastructural facilities • LCS of both the sides are not at all trade friendly. Don’t have any warehouse or storage facility. • Absence of electricity, telecommunication links, weighbridge, parking lot, cold storage and accommodation facility • Riverine: The route is few and not fully utilized. • --Narayangonj, Bhairab, Ashugonj, Baghabari,Sherput-all need better facilities. • Rail: Most of the rail lines are still snapped. • -- Rail is the least utilized transport facility.
Barriers to bilateral trade • Permit and License, Pre-Shipment Inspection: • The average time taking for issuance of the IEC (Import Export Code) number is 10-30 days • There is no office at all the state capitals of NEI for PSI • Changing H.S. Code: • In case of Fruits juice the Indian customs authority has changed the H.S. Code of the product from 2009.80 to 2202.90 • Which has a 20% higher duty from the earlier H.S. Code. • In fact, Bangladesh has been exporting the same product to 43 different countries under the same H.S. Code of 2009.80.
Barriers to bilateral trade • Inadequate Banking Right& High L/C margin provision: • No direct corresponding relationship of the bank of NEI and BD. • Sometimes it takes 20-40 days to reach a L/C • High Tariff, Para-Tariff , Non-Tariff Barrier and Others charge: • India imposed high tariff on some Bangladeshi goods, which have good prospects to export to Northeast Region. • RMG and CI sheet are the two examples of it. • It is reported that tariff value on CI Sheet is about US$ 590/MT whereas the export value is simply US$ 450/MT.
Barriers to bilateral trade • Non-tariff and Para-tariff barriers: • --Antidumping Duty • -- Sales Tax • -- Health Test Report • -- ISI Certification requirement • -- Retail price marking • -- Lab Test Report etc. • India imposed • --16% CUD (Countervailing Duty) for agro products and cosmetics • -- 4% SAD (Special Additional Duties) for Agro products, ceramics • and cosmetics • -- 16% Additional Duty for ceramics • -- 15% surcharge for dry cell battery.
Strategies for Cooperation • Negotiations needed: • Reducing/ removing CUD and SAD under bilateral or regional trade agreements. • Expanding the list of commodities receiving concessions by India in the next route of SAPTA concessions. • Tariff reduction on potential export products on bilateral basis • Product standards and tests can be harmonized between two countries for facilitating trade.
Strategies for Cooperation • LCS which have emerged as important export routes will have to be developed. These are: • Akhaura, Bibirbazar, Juri and Sheola. • Roads need to be developed: Construction/ Widening/ Straightening • Bharkhar to Akhaura ( 30 Kms) and alternative route Sultanpur ( Brahmanbaria) and Akhaura • Phultali to Batuli( Juri) and alternative route connecting Kulaura and Phultali via Gazipur • Sheola bridge to sheola LCS including the culvert on the road • Comilla to Bibirbazar
Strategies for Cooperation • Facilities need to be provided/ reopened: • Using the facilities of Chittagong Port • Air link between Dhaka and Guwahati • Both BD and India should issue multiple entry visa for one year to business persons. • Bangladesh should open a visa office in Guwahati in addition to the one now existing in Agartala. • Easing the restriction for banks in NEI in dealing foreign currency • Direct bus service from Sylhet to Guwahati and Shillong
Strategies for Cooperation • Facilities need to be provided/ reopened: • Setting up of Port Health office in every state of NEI > presently it is only in Kolkata • Signing Multi-modal transport Agreement and declaration of Ashuganj as Port-of-Call • Restoration of Agartala-Akhaura and Shahbazpur-Mohisashan rail link • Movement of vehicles up to transshipment point • Bridge over Ragnachera • Consulate Office at Sylhet
Strategies for Cooperation • Bangladesh can adopt policies which can encourage investment from Indian companies. • It is required to create goodwill between the two countries by bridging the trust deficit. • For that matter, there should be a regular consultation between economic ministries of both countries. • Encourage track –II diplomacy to remove ‘mindset’ barrier. • Explore the potential for greater energy cooperation (particularly electricity) between the two countries.