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4G Radio Developments without Europe?. Arnd Weber , Bernd Wingert ITAS, Karlsruhe Research Centre (Germany) Erik Bohlin , Sven Lindmark Vinnova, Gothenburg (Sweden). Introduction. Research project: „The Future of Mobile Communications in the EU: Assessing the Potential of 4G“
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4G Radio Developments without Europe? Arnd Weber, Bernd Wingert ITAS, Karlsruhe Research Centre (Germany) Erik Bohlin, Sven Lindmark Vinnova, Gothenburg (Sweden)
Introduction Research project: „The Future of Mobile Communications in the EU: Assessing the Potential of 4G“ • Sponsored by EU (JRC/IPTS) in 2003 (Carlos Rodriguez, Jean-Claude Burgelman) • Partners Vinnova, ITAS, TNO
Overview • Objectives • Project Approach • US • China • Japan • Asia • Europe • Summary of Analysis • Conclusions
1. Objectives Questions raised by European Commission in 2003 • 4G technologies emerging in the US and in Asia a threat? • 4G in two senses: • Linear succession, after 3G • Immediate deployment, starting with Wi-Fi • Identify policy options
2. Project Approach Analysis of • Advanced use of 2.5 and 3G • Scenarios and roadmaps towards 4G • State of the art and research By means of • Desk research • Gathering of expert views
3. US • Dynamics of WLAN not over, cf. Intel, Flarion, etc. • Licensed, unlicensed • Indoor, outdoor • FCC supportive for flexibilisation, outdoor use = „Immediate“ 4G, possibly disruptive
4. China • Large mobile market • Aim at leadership in mobile area • Industry policy • Low cost production Haier Elitek
5. Japan • Best handsets • Infrastructure competition: • PHS (real flatrate) • PDC • WCDMA • Cdma2000 (cheapest) • Progress towards TD-SCDMA, Flash-OFDM • Operator control of user interface • Aim at cheaper costs for 3.5G, 4G (wireless VoIP ?) More on Tuesday, session 4.5, starting 11:00
6. Asia • Korea: 4 G ambitions • Co-operation on 4G between CN, K, J discussed • India leap-frogging?
7. Europe • Low use of mobile Internet • Not leading with handset features • Good radio research, but deployment? • UMTS license holder protection
8. Summary of Analysis • US leading with potentially disruptive WLANs • Asian players aim at leading with 4G-technologies • Equipment built cheaply in Asia = These markets develop, supported by spectrum regulation = Europe runs risk of falling behind
9. Conclusion for Europe 4G acknowledged topic Allow for alternatives to UMTS? Cf. Bohlin et al. (Rodriguez et al. eds.): Future of Mobile Communications... Seville 2004. www.jrc.es - or check www.itas.fzk.de -