100 likes | 252 Views
Great Lakes In-Lake Hydrology. Carlo DeMarchi Dept. of Geological Sciences Case Western Reserve University. Great Lakes In-Lake Hydrology. Over-Lake Precipitation Lake Evaporation Wind Water Surface Temperature Air Temperature Humidity Ice Cover Water Levels.
E N D
Great Lakes In-Lake Hydrology Carlo DeMarchi Dept. of Geological Sciences Case Western Reserve University
Great Lakes In-Lake Hydrology • Over-Lake Precipitation • Lake Evaporation • Wind • Water Surface Temperature • Air Temperature • Humidity • Ice Cover • Water Levels
Over-Lake Precipitation • Interpolation of Rain Gages • Integration of Rain Gages and Radar • Satellite-Based Remote Sensing • Integration of Radar, Gages, and Satellites
Distance (> 100 km) • Difference in over-lake and over-land precipitation (lake-effect snow)
Estimating Uncertainty in GLERL’s Monthly Overlake Precipitation • Merging NCEP Multisensor Precipitation Estimates and rain gage data • Radar Coverage is spatially and temporally irregular • Rain gage correction is less effective over lake (no gages) • Bias (0.5%-7.5%) • Uncertainty 20-45%.
Satellite Remote Sensing • For the Great Lakes • Correlation of Daily TMPA and CMORPH with MPE is 0.5-0.8 during summer and 0.2-0.7 during winter. • Low Bias • Edge of GOES’ useful area for quantitative analysis • Integration of Radar, Satellite, and rain gages Tian et al 2007
Great Lakes Lake Evaporation • Given the size of the Great Lakes, measurement of evaporation was impossible up to now • Estimation could be done by water balance or energy balance • Calibration of thermodynamic models can be done only indirectly (ice cover and lake surface temperature) • Eddy covariance system
GLERL Large Lake Thermodynamic Model • 1-D Model • Lumped-parameter Model • Uses Daily Lake-wide Meteorology Input • Mean Air Temperature • Mean Dew Point Temperature • Mean Wind Speed • Mean Cloud Cover • Empirically Calibrated to Water Surface Temperature for 1948-1988 • Buoy data available only during Summer,
Eddy Covariance Method • Spence and Blanken • June 2008, Sept. 2009 • Large footprint • Extension of “point” data to entire lake depends on wind, water temperature, etc. • Data in reasonable agreement with GLERL
How to Improve Evaporation Estimates • For both the thermodynamic and Eddy Covariance approach: • Presently Off line; Assimilation of SST from satellite • Estimating 2m wind? (ERS-1, ERS-2, QuikSCAT, MetOp-A, ASCAT; SSM/I) • Estimating 2m Air Temperature • Estimating air humidity (ERS-1, ERS-2, MODIS) • Use alternative evapotranspiration models like SEBAL, S-SEBI?