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Responsible Transport Practices. Presented by: Mathetha Mokonyama Venue: Sandton Convention Centre Date: 18 May 2010. Presentation Outline. Introduction Transport system gaps and opportunities Concluding remarks Recommendations. Objectives of the presentation.
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Responsible Transport Practices Presented by: Mathetha Mokonyama Venue: Sandton Convention Centre Date: 18 May 2010
Presentation Outline • Introduction • Transport system gaps and opportunities • Concluding remarks • Recommendations
Objectives of the presentation • Identify some of the critical South African transport system gaps and opportunities related to building the “Green Economy”. • Identify some actions that need to be taken to address the gaps and exploit the opportunities.
Household expenditure trends in the US • Transport costs have forever been on the increase. • Low income household bear the brunt. Source: Liman(2010)
Household expenditure trends in South Africa • Transport costs rising rapidly than all the other items. • We need to monitor changes (where, how much, what contributes, etc.) Source: StatsSA (2008)
Car emission rates in South Africa - Johannesburg V/S • Our car emission rates are much higher than the Euro standards. We have no equivalent standards or guidelines. • Treasury proposes R75 per gram above 120g/km of CO2 for new cars, but needs to be more comprehensive. Source: Goyns (2008)
Changes in South African car age profile 2000-2009 ( mid 2009) • South African car fleet is getting older. • We fleet management guidelines. Source: Calculations form Natis (2000) and eNatis (2009)
Cars less that 5 years at municipal level • Distribution indicative of the demand for new cars. • Let’s take transport planning seriously even in traditionally smaller towns. Source: Calculations eNatis (2003)
How South African access their nearest shop • The more cars a household have the more likely the use of car for purchasing basic household items as opposed to non-motorised transport. Source: Calculations based on NHTS (2003)
South African road network design standards • Our road network design standards and “corridors” are defined in terms of the mobility of cars (vehicles/hour) instead of person mobility (people/hour). Let’s reverse this.
Example of the severe cause of congestion – spatial planning • Example: Scattered Origin and destinations making use of road section between Allandale and Buccleuch Interchange • Roadway congestion tends to be concentrated.
Contrasting BRT performances Technology e.g. BRT alone, not the solution – land use restructuring and infrastructure design practice have a major role. • City of Johannesburg • Length = 25km • 12 000 – 16 000 passenger trips per day (to slightly improve with feeder and distributors. • Lagos, Nigeria • Length = 22km • 200 000 passenger trips per day. • Mexico City, Mexico • Length = 20km • 350 000 passenger trips per day.
Other observations • Isolated road tolling, for example Gauteng Freeway Improvement Scheme, is likely to create more problems than it solves e.g. secondary network congestion, accidents, etc. • The use of South African space is expensive compared to other countries: • Compared to many countries, South Africa’s per vehicle fuel consumption is high. • In cities where human population is considerably higher than e.g. Johannesburg, public transport patronage is substantially more than in Johannesburg. • Even at lower population sizes than Johannesburg, many cities in high income countries have public transport patronage higher than Johannesburg. • In many cities, higher levels of car ownership do not necessarily translate into lower public transport patronage.
Concluding remarks • Indications are that in South Africa we are losing the battle for sustainable transport. • Let’s measure the right things to assess transport policy effectiveness. • Vehicle kilometres per capita measures the efficiency of the transport system. Let’s aim to minimise it, and lets plan settlements to minimise it. • We are still using old transport infrastructure and system design guidelines, founded on primitive planning frameworks, let’s update them. • Without a sound built environment, the adoption of newer technology (e.g. electric cars, alternative fuels, BRT) will only have a marginal improvement, if any.
Recommendations for the way forward • Promote network design and network systems management as opposed to isolated routes or “corridors” [Responsibility DoT and its Agencies] • Monitor transport costs continuously and consistently [Responsibility StatsSA] • Monitor vehicle kilometres (e.g. odometer readings and panel surveys) [Responsibility eNatis and DoT] • Monitor passenger numbers (this is our system’s asset). [Responsibility StatsSA] • Update old transport infrastructure and systems design standards [Responsibility DoT] • Introduce new transport infrastructure and systems design standards [Responsibility DoT] • Pilot and implement the design standards [Responsibility DoT]