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Clean Energy Legislative Academy July 25, 2018

Clean Energy Legislative Academy July 25, 2018. Energy Policy Overview Trends in emissions Trends in energy generation and consumption State policy trends Energy Economic Development Our 4 Breakout Sessions – storage, EVs, grid modernization, renewables CNEE Resources.

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Clean Energy Legislative Academy July 25, 2018

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  1. Clean Energy Legislative Academy July 25, 2018

  2. Energy Policy Overview • Trends in emissions • Trends in energy generation and consumption • State policy trends • Energy Economic Development • Our 4 Breakout Sessions – storage, EVs, grid modernization, renewables • CNEE Resources

  3. Trends in Energy Generation & Consumption Tom Plant

  4. Electricity has followed a pattern of resource ‘ages’

  5. Annual Energy Outlook 2019with projections to 2050 January 24, 2019 www.eia.gov/aeo #AEO2019

  6. Expected requirements for new generating capacity will be met by renewables and natural gas—

  7. Nuclear capacity retirements accelerate with lower natural gas prices—

  8. Renewable generation exceeds requirements for state renewable portfolio standards—

  9. Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions mirror the trends in energy consumption across cases Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions by fuel (Reference case) billion metric tons of carbon dioxide

  10. The U.S. likely to become a net energy exporter. U.S. Annual Energy Outlook (2017) https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/pdf/0383(2017).pdf

  11. Even though the United States becomes a net energy exporter in the Reference case U.S. Annual Energy Outlook (2018) https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/pdf/0383(2018).pdf

  12. The United States becomes a net energy exporter after 2020 in the Reference case—

  13. Projected solar PV cost competitiveness results in growth of solar generation in the Reference case in all interconnection regions

  14. Trends in State Energy Policy

  15. Renewable Portfolio Standard Policies www.dsireusa.org / February 2017 ME: 40% x 2017 WA: 15% x 2020* NH: 24.8 x 2025 ND: 10% x 2015 MT: 15% x 2015 MN:26.5% x 2025 (IOUs) 31.5% x 2020 (Xcel) VT: 75% x 2032 MA: 15% x 2020(new resources) 6.03% x 2016 (existing resources) OR: 50%x 2040* (large utilities) SD: 10% x 2015 NY:50% x 2030 WI: 10% 2015 MI: 15% x 2021*† RI: 38.5% x 2035 CT: 27% x 2020 IA: 105 MW OH: 12.5% x 2026 IN:10% x 2025† NJ: 20.38% RE x 2020 + 4.1% solar by 2027 NV: 25% x 2025* IL: 25% x 2026 UT:20% x 2025*† CO: 30% by 2020 (IOUs) *† PA: 18% x 2021† VA:15% x 2025† KS: 20% x 2020 DE: 25% x 2026* CA: 50% x 2030 DC MO:15% x 2021 MD: 25% x 2020 NC: 12.5% x 2021 (IOUs) DC: 50% x 2032 OK:15% x 2015 NM: 20%x 2020 (IOUs) AZ: 15% x 2025* SC:2% 2021 TX: 5,880 MW x 2015* 29 States + Washington DC + 3 territories have a Renewable Portfolio Standard (8 states and 1 territories have renewable portfolio goals) U.S. Territories HI: 100% x 2045 NMI: 20% x 2016 Guam: 25% x 2035 PR: 20% x 2035 USVI: 30% x 2025 * Renewable portfolio standard Extra credit for solar or customer-sited renewables † Renewable portfolio goal Includes non-renewable alternative resources

  16. Resources for RPS Compliance are shifting from Wind to Solar From 2017 Renewable Portfolio Standards Status Report Lawrence Berkeley National Lab

  17. A move toward emissions targets in 2019 • Colorado: 50% below 2005 levels by 2030. 90% below by 2050 • Maine: 45% below 1990 levels by 2030. 80% below by 2050. • Nevada: 28% below 2005 levels by 2025. 45% below by 2030. Near 0 by 2050. • New Mexico: 45% below 2005 levels by 2030. • Washington: Carbon Neutral by 2030, Carbon Free by 2045

  18. Strategen consulting, llc: Evolving the RPS: A Clean Peak Standard for a Smarter Renewable Future

  19. Strategen consulting, llc: Evolving the RPS: A Clean Peak Standard for a Smarter Renewable Future

  20. Shared Renewables • In 2010 there were only 2 shared renewable projects in the US • In 2016 there were 100 in 26 states • 49% of households and 48% of businesses are unable to host solar. • Opens the market to all utility customers including renters • Offers low cost power for low income programs

  21. Corporate Procurement

  22. Electrification of Transportation Energy Storage Mainstreaming Renewables Grid Modernization Our 4 breakout sessions

  23. Utility Planning Horizon

  24. Projected Energy Storage Utility Acquisition Horizon

  25. First Quarters of Energy Storage

  26. Mainstreaming Renewables

  27. Grid Modernization 2017 Grid Modernization DC No action in 32 2017 1-2 actions in Q3 2017 3-5 actions in Q3 2017 6-9 actions in Q3 2017 10 or more actions in Q3 2017

  28. Grid Modernization Most Common Types of Policies in 2017

  29. CNEE Resources

  30. Over 2,600 Energy Bills

  31. SPOTforCleanEnergy.org

  32. iTunes Amazon Online

  33. Thank you!www.cnee.colostate.edu

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