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Introduction to International Business. David J. Boggs, Ph.D. Currencies and Financial Markets. International Financial Markets Review of Terms. Debt Equity Bond Stock International Capital Market. Some questions:. What is a foreign currency? Have you ever exchanged money?
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Introduction to International Business David J. Boggs, Ph.D. Currencies and Financial Markets
International Financial Markets Review of Terms • Debt • Equity • Bond • Stock • International Capital Market
Some questions: • What is a foreign currency? • Have you ever exchanged money? • How much is traded daily? • Who buys and sells currencies?
Who buys and sells? • Multinational companies • Banks, brokers, and financial institutions • Individuals • Speculators, investors, hedge funds • Governments
Foreign Exchange • Why do companies exchange money?
Foreign Exchange • Why do companies exchange money? • Buy products, parts, supplies • Invest abroad • Have been paid in foreign currency • Protect against risk (hedging) • Try to make a profit (speculating)
London New York Tokyo Singapore Dollar Euro Yen British Pound Top Markets and Currencies
Direct (American terms) and Indirect (European terms) • The U.K. pound and Canadian dollar tend to be quoted in direct terms (dollars per currency) • Other currencies tend to be quoted in indirect terms (currency per dollars) • Most publications indicate both direct and indirect rates
Currencies Rate Regimes • Pegged or fixed • Floating • “Dirty” float • Managed
Eurocurrency Vehicle Intervention Safe Haven Hard and Soft Convertible and Non-Convertible Strong and Weak Spot Forward discount premium Cross rates Currencies and Rates
Buying and Selling Currencies • Bid price (what a trader offers) • Ask price (what a trader charges) • Spread (the difference in the two; the trader’s profit) • Example: • Bid – pay 10 pesos for a dollar • Ask – sell dollars for 10.5 pesos • Spread – .5 peso profit
MNC Currency Considerations • Political and Economic Risk • Exchange Controls and Convertibility • Inflation • hyperinflation • Interest Rates • nominal • real (nominal minus inflation)
Hedging (versus Speculation) • Derivatives • Forward contracts (banks and financial institutions) • Futures market • International Monetary Market (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) • Fixed quantities and delivery dates • Currency options (Philadelphia Stock Exchange) • Credit Hedge • Exposure Netting • Open position in two balancing currencies • Avoids cost of hedging
Arbitrage • 1 dollar = 100 yen • 100 yen = 10 pesos • 9.8 pesos = 1 dollar • Simultaneously trade 1 dollar for 100 yen, 100 yen for 10 pesos, 9.8 pesos for 1 dollar and you are left with .2 pesos profit
Assignment • For next class bring a plot to class of the movement of a currency relative to the U.S. dollar for the past four years. To create the plot, go to the following url: • http://fx.sauder.ubc.ca/ or oanda.com or finance.yahoo.com • Choose a currency likely to strengthen this semester and one likely to weaken.