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NOAA Perspective on the Bering Ecosystem Study

NOAA Perspective on the Bering Ecosystem Study. New Guidance. US Climate Science Strategic Plan – new ecosystems chapter emphasizes climate-ecosystem interactions in high latitude and coastal areas NOAA Strategic Plan – new emphasis on ecological forecasting

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NOAA Perspective on the Bering Ecosystem Study

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  1. NOAA Perspective on the Bering Ecosystem Study

  2. New Guidance • US Climate Science Strategic Plan – new ecosystems chapter emphasizes climate-ecosystem interactions in high latitude and coastal areas • NOAA Strategic Plan – new emphasis on ecological forecasting • Arctic Research Commission – Bering Sea predictability

  3. Fundamental NOAA Missions • Observe and Predict Climate • Seasonal forecasting – variation from norms • Interannual forecasting of climate modes, e.g., El Nino • Long-term climate projections, e.g., global warming • Manage coastal and marine resources • Traditional approach – success and failure • Ecosystem approach – keeps the scientists busy, but will it work? • Precautionary approach – politically impossible?

  4. Intersection of BEST and NOAA • BEST can provide the scientific underpinning to support eventual ecosystem approach to resource management in the Bering Sea • Lead to NOAA “operational” Bering Sea Ecological Forecast System

  5. NOAA Role in BEST • Continuing Activities • Fishery stock assessments and ancillary data • In situ moorings • Satellite observations

  6. NOAA Role in BEST • New Pilot Projects • Retrospective synthesis of Bering Sea environmental data • Moorings in northern Bering Sea • Coupled physical-biological model development

  7. NOAA Role in BEST • Future Activities • Seek funding for continuing observation and modeling system • Build decision support system for resource managers- including ecological forecasting system for Bering Sea

  8. SEARCH and BEST • BEST is being planned as a component of SEARCH • Bering Sea recognized as a key biological component in the SEARCH science plan • SEARCH IWG and SSC will support BEST needs

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