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Global Market and Ukrainian Steel Industry in 2013-2014

Ministry of Industrial Policy of Ukraine. SE UEX Co. Research & Consulting. Global Market and Ukrainian Steel Industry in 2013-2014. Vlasjuk V.S. SE UPE Co. Research & Consulting, Ukraine 75 th Session of the OECD Steel Committee Meeting, Paris, 05-06 December 2013.

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Global Market and Ukrainian Steel Industry in 2013-2014

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  1. Ministry of Industrial Policy of Ukraine SE UEX Co. Research & Consulting Global Market and Ukrainian Steel Industry in 2013-2014 Vlasjuk V.S. SE UPE Co. Research & Consulting, Ukraine 75th Session of the OECD Steel Committee Meeting, Paris, 05-06 December2013

  2. 1. In 2010-2013 crude steel production in Ukraine has stabilized in range of 33-35 million tonnes Crude steelproduction, Mt Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine This year crude steel production in Ukraine will increase by 0.3 Mt (+0.9% y-to-y) to 33.3 Mt due to export growth

  3. 2. Ukraine remains in the top10 world largest steel producers Ukraine Source: WSA, State Statistics Service of Ukraine By the results of 10 months 2013 Ukraine holds 10th place (with share 2.1% from the world production) in the rating of the largest steel-producing countries

  4. 3. Iron ore production in Ukraine has steady increased since 2010, but coke production has downtrend in 2012-2013 Iron ore, Mt Coke, Mt Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine The growth of iron ore production in Ukraine 2010-2013 was caused mainly by increase of exports to China (17.5Mt in 2013). In contrary, the current production of coke fell to level 2009

  5. 4. Structure of Ukrainian steel capacity by process Ukrainian steel capacities by process, Mt Source:State Statistics Service of Ukraine During 2011-2013 5.5 Mt of open-hearth furnaces were decommissioned whereas EAF (1.3 Mt) were commissioned. Complete replacement of open hearth technology in Ukraine is planned till 2018

  6. 5. Current Ukrainian steel capacity utilization corresponds to the world average level Ukrainian Capacity utilization (%) Mt Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine Source: WSA, OECD, UPE Co. During 2013 crude steel capacity in Ukraine was utilized at 76.1%

  7. 6. Ukrainian export continues to play an important role. However, in 2009-2013 it was significantly below pre-crisis level Ukrainian steel exports, Mt estimation based on 10 months 2013 Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine After record 2007, in 2009-2013 Ukraine’s steel export reduced by 5.2 Mt, especially to America, Turkey, Middle East and Asia

  8. 7. Ukrainian export market is well diversified. EU and CIS remain the biggest partners Regional structure Ukrainian steel export Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine The shares of the EU and the CIS in the structure of exports from Ukraine are 27% and 20% in 2013

  9. 8. Outlook 2014: GDP, industrial production, construction will rise moderately … Construction % GDP % Industrial production % Source: State Statistics Service of Ukraine

  10. 9. …as a result Ukrainian steel consumption 2014 will increase Steel products, Mt total consumption import Source:State Statistics Service of Ukraine, UEX Co. (forecast), The expected growth rate of apparent steel consumption is 3.5% in 2014 after reduction by 5.8% in 2013. This year Ukraine will import up to 1.78 Mt of steel products or 22.8% of total consumption. In 2014 steel import to Ukraine is expected nearly 1.7 Mt

  11. 10. Crude steel production in Ukraine in 2014 will grow …… but it still remains far below record 2007 Mt Source:State Statistics Service of Ukraine (fact), UEX Co. (forecast) Expected growth of steel production in 2014 was 2.7% versus 0.9% in the current year. It will be determined by the growth of exports (+0.5Mt) and domestic consumption (+0.3Mt)

  12. Investments in energy efficiency and environment protection

  13. 12. In 2011-2013 modernization of Ukraine's steel industry has accelerated Ukrainian steel production by process Source:State Statistics Service of Ukraine The share of steel production by energy-intensive open-hearth technology in Ukraine has decreased by more than twice from 44.2% (2007) to 19.2% (2013)

  14. 13. Implementation of pulverized coal injection technology in Ukraine has advanced substantially Structure of pig iron production by usage coke, natural gas and pulverized coal Source:State Statistics Service of Ukraine In 2010-2013 PCI technology was implemented in four Ukrainian iron&steel works – Alchevsk ISW, Zaporozhstal ISW and MariupolIlyich ISW

  15. 14. Implementing PCI has led to a decrease in consumption of natural gas per 1 tonne of pig iron in Ukraine Natural gas consumption in Ukrainian metallurgy, million m3 Natural gas consumption per 1t pig iron, m3/t Source:Metallurgprom Compared with 2008, the consumption of natural gas per 1t pig iron production decreased from 81.3 m3 to 23.6 m3 in 2013

  16. 15. Due to the closures of obsolete steel capacities in Ukraine, steel sector have decreased CO2 emissions CO2 emissions in steel sector, Mt CO2 emission per 1t steel production, t Source:State Statistics Service of Ukraine, Metallurgprom, UEX Closure of open-hearth furnaces Donetsksteel (2012) – 0.99Mt, Azovstal ISW (2012) – 3.15Mt, Nizhnedneprovskii TRP (2012) – 0.78Mt Closure of coke battariesAzovstal ISW (2012), sinter plant Azovstal ISW (2013)

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