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Key Scenario Themes

Key Scenario Themes. OUR SUPPORT SYSTEM. OUR RELATIONS WITH EACH OTHER. Economic Structure & Performance. Hydrocarbon Economy & Transition. Systemic Reality Of Equal Opportunity. Capacity to Agree. Our Relation to Biosphere. Mindsets. OUR RELATIONS WITH OUTSIDE WORLD.

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Key Scenario Themes

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  1. Key Scenario Themes OUR SUPPORT SYSTEM OUR RELATIONS WITH EACH OTHER Economic Structure & Performance Hydrocarbon Economy & Transition Systemic Reality Of Equal Opportunity Capacity to Agree Our Relation to Biosphere Mindsets OUR RELATIONS WITH OUTSIDE WORLD Our Relations With Other States & Cities U.S.A. Standing in the World Relations with the Americas

  2. Our Support System Economic Structure & Performance Hydrocarbon Economy & Transformation Our Relation to Biosphere • 30 yr economic stats • Were we wise or lucky? • Current financial & economic crisis • Faint signals: re gov’t intervention • Emerging GH economy • Today’s energy system • Faint signals: peak oil; new players, Saudi, alternative energy • Climate change - science • Climate change faint signals & new dev’ts • State of GH environment today • Land use patterns • Economic choices & regulations • Faint signals: GH vulnerability to climate change, environ’tal economics & ecological mgt. What is the relationships of GH to biosphere & how is it changing? What has been the structure & performance of GH economy & how might it change? What will be the impact on GH if preserving the biosphere requires a dramatic energy transformation?

  3. Our Relations with Each Other Systemic reality of equal opportunity Capability to agree Mindsets • Stats on incarceration, schools’ performance & income inequality • Interviews with informed people asking why these conditions endure • Looking for examples of success – equality, upward mobility, etc. • How are changing demographics & information flow changing politics & society? • National politics: history & future of ideological divide + impact of money • What creates existing mindsets that impact equality? • How do we understand fear in our society? • Where do our beliefs about the biosphere come from? If this is a society where everything is possible, is it possible for everyone? What is our capability to agree in a time of transition? What is the nature of our deeper beliefs and what supports them?

  4. Our Relationship with Outside World Our Relations with the World Our Relations with the America Our Relations with other States & Cities • Houston vs other major cities • Texas vs other states • USA vs other countries • Stats of US standing (intellectual, financial, military & soft power) • Indicators of super-power decline • Historical pattern of GH & US/Latin American relations (business, migration, etc.) • Drugs trade • Faint signals: new trading partners for Latin Am; innovation & creativity What is the standing of the USA in the world & how might it change? What relationship is nature of USA & GH’s with Latin America and how might it change? What competition will we face for markets, talent, finance & resources?

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